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发表于 2014-4-9 11:14 PM
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本帖最后由 90ufo 于 2014-4-10 12:17 AM 编辑
Doug Cote, chief investment strategist at ING U.S. Investment Management, says two things stood out in the Fed minutes, and both indicate a dovish stand that markets are liking.
“Most participants revised down their GDP projections, which means they will want to stay accommodating. There were concerns about low inflation among Fed officials. Current PCE at about 1.5% is below the Fed’s target 2% rate. This would mean rates will stay low for longer. And even when the rates are raised it will be done in a slow and measured way, without any shocks,” Cote said.
Federal Reserve officials had a secret video conference call in early March and reached a general consensus that the 6.5% unemployment rate threshold for the first rate hike was outdated, the central bank said Wednesday. A summary of the video conference was included in the minutes of the Fed’s March 18-19 meeting. On the conference call, the central bankers were clearly worried that changing the forward guidance would impact markets. 怕spook market
Fed officials have publicly encouraged a view that the first interest-rate increase won’t happen until the second half of 2015 at the earliest, and most economists hadn’t expected the minutes to sway from that. |
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