01/23/2013 Live Update

ysc · 发表于 2013-1-23 03:54 PM

good, push more

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-23 03:55 PM

the next possible target. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=114837#p114837

ysc · 发表于 2013-1-23 04:03 PM

2 more push

ninemao · 发表于 2013-1-23 04:11 PM

有人讲讲AAPL's ER?

yaobooyao · 发表于 2013-1-23 04:20 PM

本帖最后由 yaobooyao 于 2013-1-23 04:24 PM 编辑

superxy 发表于 2013-1-23 02:25 PM
VIX没有涨呀？

仔细看了一下VIX Futures daily volume vs OI data，我上面贴图的帖子理解是错的。

以下是我的看法：

1. 2012-12-27 开始， VIX Futures OI 开始翻转减少的趋势，逐渐开始增大。对照Implied VIX 的走势做参考（12-31 开始一路走低的趋势)，OI的增加应该是偏重于short VIX Futures 的新增仓。同期，大盘开始上涨。

2. 2013-01-11,14,16三天的VIX　Futures OI 创新高，同时VIX　Futures 走低或者基本flat，新增的OI　应该偏重于VIX Futures short 新开仓。

综合看，VIX Futures 可能持续走低，甚至到11 的水平，拐点可以看某天VIX　Futures OI 的骤然减少、同时日成交合约volume 暴涨为判断依据。

这里是VIX cash index 的图，和２０１２年至今VIX Futures daily volume vs. OI的图，　供参考。

VIX 2012-12.png

VIX Futures Vol vs OI -2012 to 2013-Jan.png

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-23 04:25 PM

support. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=114858#p114858

ysc · 发表于 2013-1-23 04:25 PM

come on, bulls,
ok, let you 1 more chance to push to 1493 after aapl er.

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-23 04:34 PM

members only update at 3:40 pm
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2013/01232013-intra-day-update/

ysc · 发表于 2013-1-23 04:37 PM

come on, bulls, push harder.

ysc · 发表于 2013-1-23 04:38 PM

looks like 1493 no hope before AAPL ER. hope AAPL can help bulls after hour.

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-23 04:39 PM

finally might be a weaker close. 15 min to go. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=114872#p114872

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-23 04:45 PM

bears actually want a strong close, red close would be the worst. I'll explain to members if strong close.

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-23 04:50 PM

closing statement. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=114877#p114877

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-23 10:13 PM

The damage from AAPL ER is a small double top which is too small to be a real threat to bulls. $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=114911#p114911

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[灌水] 01/23/2013 Live Update

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