KBH -- King Backs Home Now? 超级蝌蚪的分析

dsp

献丑了。欢迎指点，多谢。先说好，不可以人身攻击啊。

FA基本面：
1。地球人都知道the worst of housing market 已经结束；
2。KBH is the fifth-largest U.S. homebuilder
3。Q3-ER posted a surprise quarterly profit and said revenue backlog rose to its highest level since the peak of the financial crisis.

TA（weekly chart）

看点：
1。 周线从2006年金融危机后，第一次上破200SMA。出现HL, HH。
2。本轮上涨目标$18.5，目前在最后一冲。
3。wave-5结束后，会有a-b-c的回调，最好的抄底位置大约在$10-$12，然后上破重要阻力$20.x。房地产牛市开始。

dsp

在阻力$14.5下盘整很多天了，上破后先看$16.3

superxy

还不如买ITB

bucks

dsp 发表于 2012-12-5 03:05 AM
在阻力$14.5下盘整很多天了，上破后先看$16.3

the first down leg is severe. It's equally likely between breaking down or up, IMHO.

Btw, how is it compared to HOV?

hunting

bububaba

KBH a lot of debts

hunting, 冲浪纯情TA男

rightonmoney

nice pick!

silicon_beaver

dsp

bucks 发表于 2012-12-5 09:35 AM
the first down leg is severe. It's equally likely between breaking down or up, IMHO.

Btw, how i ...

I think they are similar, but HOV is below $5 , so has higher risk to me.

atrader

看你的图说话，目前是建空仓时候， 或去站岗的神圣时候。

dsp

atrader 发表于 2012-12-6 11:20 PM
看你的图说话，目前是建空仓时候， 或去站岗的神圣时候。

Agree. Wave-5 is hard to play for long. Short on top is better.

sandera

这样的盘整会先掉一下的,跌破11月15号@13.09低点的可能非常大,做多要等.

dsp

MY target reached today.

Day's Range:

17.07 - 18.99

rightonmoney

dsp 发表于 2013-1-24 02:18 AM
MY target reached today.

Day's Range:

Did u sell today?

dsp

rightonmoney 发表于 2013-1-24 11:38 AM
Did u sell today?

sold already. not expected so high

rightonmoney

dsp 发表于 2013-1-24 01:23 PM
sold already. not expected so high

老大牛呀！