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楼主: catbear

[灌水] 收盘了, 我来扯扯淡。

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发表于 2012-2-22 09:45 PM | 显示全部楼层


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发表于 2012-2-22 09:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-2-23 01:52 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-2-23 07:48 AM | 显示全部楼层
这个阴谋论为你挣了很多银子
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发表于 2012-2-23 08:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-2-23 01:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
shoujie 发表于 2012-2-23 07:48
这个阴谋论为你挣了很多银子


还不够, 我还以为能挣个三千五千的。。。

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好吧!。。。就再给100大洋  发表于 2012-2-23 01:39 PM

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发表于 2012-2-24 04:26 AM | 显示全部楼层
天大地大,不如政治最大!
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发表于 2012-2-25 07:07 AM | 显示全部楼层
厉害!
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发表于 2012-2-26 03:05 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-2-26 08:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
good point
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发表于 2012-2-26 09:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-2-28 12:56 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 catbear 于 2012-2-28 00:57 编辑

我说爱拔毛为三托姆“助选”, 大家说我是阴谋论,是说故事。
好了,今天看看主流媒体怎么说:密歇根的民主党号召去投三托姆的票。


Democratic mischief in Michigan

Washington (CNN) - It's no secret that most Democratic strategists consider Mitt Romney the GOP contender who poses the biggest threat to President Obama. It's also no secret that Michigan, the state where Romney grew up, is a must win for him.

Combine those two dynamics, add in the fact that any registered voter is allowed to vote in Michigan's open primary, and you get a recipe for Democrats to make mischief.


Michigan Democratic strategist Joe DiSano has taken it upon himself to become a leading mischief maker.

DiSano says he targeted nearly 50,000 Democratic voters in Michigan through email and a robo call to their homes, asking them to go to the polls Tuesday to vote for Rick Santorum in attempt to hurt Romney.

"Democrats can get in there and cause havoc for Romney all the way to the Republican convention," DiSano told CNN.

"If we can help set that fire in Michigan, we have a responsibility to do so," he said.

Santorum is statistically tied with Romney in Michigan polls, and has the greatest potential of all the Republican candidates to beat Romney.

In his robo call, DiSano says "Democrats can embarrass Mitt Romney and expose him as the weak frontrunner that he is, by supporting Rick Santorum on Tuesday."

He asks the person to "press one…if you are committed to voting for Rick Santorum on Tuesday."

DiSano says over the last 7 days or so that he has been working on this, he has gotten some 12,000 commitments from Democratic voters to go to the polls and vote for Santorum.

He says the Michigan Democratic Party has not endorsed his efforts, but they haven't asked him to stop either.

DiSano insists he is a "lone wolf" in this quest to hurt Romney, bearing what he calls a minimal cost, himself.

He got the names from voters rolls collected from past and current Democratic clients in the state.

Santorum's campaign, meanwhile, confirmed it was also using a robo call urging Michigan Democrats to cross over and vote for Santorum on Tuesday.

Michigan Democratic Chairman Mark Brewer insists to CNN that the party is not actively encouraging so-called Democratic crossover voting, but says Michigan Democrats have a history of doing so.

"I fully expect that will happen," Brewer said.

He also called chatter on Democratic blogs and website pushing Michigan Democrats to vote for Santorum "encouraging."

Some in Michigan credit Democrats for delivering Michigan for John McCain in 2000 in effort to hobble George W. Bush, the Republican frontrunner that year.

Seventeen percent of voters who identified themselves as Democrats voted in the 2000 Republican primary. Eighty five percent of those went for John McCain, who won Michigan by little more than 100,000 votes in a surprising victory over Bush.

The DailyKos, a leading liberal blog, started a campaign earlier this month to get its readers to vote in open primaries, beginning with Michigan.

"The longer this thing drags out, the more unpopular the Republican presidential pretenders become," says the blog.

"Mitt Romney has been unable to stem the bleeding despite his tens of millions. Just imagine Santorum, with the far more radical record and a continued inability to raise real money. It's a no-brainer!"

Still, Michigan Republican party spokesman Matt Frendeway downplayed the idea of Democratic voters having a real impact on the states GOP primary contest.

"I don't think this will move the needle at all," Frendeway told CNN. "I think it speaks volumes, that a Democrat is severely concerned about the weakness of the president, if they're trying to organize people to vote for the so-called 'weakest candidate' or cause mischief."

He also called the DiSano's claim that 12,000 Democratic voters would come out for Rick Santorum, "an inflated, inaccurate number."

DiSano responded that "GOP insiders will do or say anything to protect Mitt Romney."

"Whether I turn out 20 voters or 20,000 voters tomorrow the fact remains that Romney is badly damaged and in the fight of his life," said DiSano.

Romney's campaign began fundraising off the robe calls Monday night, sending an email asking supporters to donate and "help Mitt fight back against the Democrats' dirty tactics."

"This is politics at its worst," the email said. "It doesn't get much more pathetic."

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发表于 2012-2-28 10:17 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-2-28 10:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
Romney wins pivotal Michigan primary, Arizona
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发表于 2012-2-29 12:00 AM | 显示全部楼层
拉姆尼赢了,民主党的期望落空了,猫熊还有何进一步的分析?
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-2-29 12:54 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 catbear 于 2012-2-29 00:54 编辑
Read0nly 发表于 2012-2-29 00:00
拉姆尼赢了,民主党的期望落空了,猫熊还有何进一步的分析?



中间会有调整,但大选前过1400没有如何悬念了。

爱拔毛会用推土机一遍又一遍地推。股市欣欣向荣,企业的ER也不差(爱拔毛给大企业减税了)。罗姆尼敢在擂台上说爱拔毛不会搞经济?


看看今天的标题:
Markets Start to Anticipate Obama Victory in November


。。。
Obama's chances of winning in November increased to above 60 percent on Tuesday, up from about 50 percent at the beginning of the year, according to the odds on prediction market Intrade.com.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 [.SPX  1372.18    4.59  (+0.34%)   ] has hit a new bull market high and is up 9 percent on the year.

The stock market’s rise comes as the supposed Republican frontrunner, Mitt Romney, continues to struggle to win the GOP nomination.”



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发表于 2012-2-29 02:06 AM | 显示全部楼层
catbear 发表于 2012-2-29 00:54
中间会有调整,但大选前过1400没有如何悬念了。

爱拔毛会用推土机一遍又一遍地推。股市欣欣向荣, ...

谢谢回复。基本同意你的分析。如果共和党的对手不够强劲,OBM连任希望很大的话,华尔街不敢造次上下折腾,怕OBM连任后报复。但俺还是有保留,因为股市最终还是取决于基本面,现在的危机是全球性的,变数很多。
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-2-29 04:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
Read0nly 发表于 2012-2-29 02:06
谢谢回复。基本同意你的分析。如果共和党的对手不够强劲,OBM连任希望很大的话,华尔街不敢造次上下折腾, ...

爱拔毛要的是11月的大选结果。 如果有一种猛药, 吃了后可以让股市high到11月。 他肯定吃, 哪怕后面要萎三年他也肯定吃。

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同感。  发表于 2012-2-29 10:19 PM
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