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[讨论] MKT down side target

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发表于 2012-1-13 10:43 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


Many analyst said for this coming swing reversal,
1st down side target 200ema=1255~, 2nd target 50 ema=1245~.
But I do not like  to guess that. It may become a 反指 if MM play games.
As I told U many time before,
90 % possibility, 1/24 morning will be bottom.
So I chose to follow this timing instead of target.

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发表于 2012-1-13 10:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
oldpigwang 发表于 2012-1-13 10:43
Many analyst said for this coming swing reversal,
1st down side target 200ema=1255~, 2nd target 50 ...

Excellent post.........now we are in the RIGHT side of a peak (JAN10-12)......the correction will not be finished in a day....

Next week, more big bank's ER.........may have deep correction. best stay sideline...
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发表于 2012-1-13 10:48 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-1-13 11:07 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 oldpigwang 的帖子

The 10% possibility is, if some 笨家伙很笨,then we may have a double test of the bottom next day~, then up.
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发表于 2012-1-13 11:35 AM | 显示全部楼层
thanks!
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发表于 2012-1-13 11:56 AM | 显示全部楼层
oldpigwang 发表于 2012-1-13 10:43
Many analyst said for this coming swing reversal,
1st down side target 200ema=1255~, 2nd target 50 ...

ER season, 大跌可能性不大;
OE前周五, 需要杀CALL.
下周oe偏弱继续调整。。

大方向 - 油价太高,影响经济和qe3的launch
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发表于 2012-1-13 12:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-1-13 12:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
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Lao da , why 01/24 should be the bottom? could you explain little more, Thanks!
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-1-13 01:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 uni007 的帖子

Currently, earning estatment down from 14% to 11% already.
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发表于 2012-1-13 08:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 costco 于 2012-1-13 20:49 编辑
oldpigwang 发表于 2012-1-13 13:59
回复 uni007 的帖子

Currently, earning estatment down from 14% to 11% already.


The estimate of earnings growth rate for Q4 2001 is down to 6.6% already. As of October 3rd, the estimate of earnings growth rate was at 15%.
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-1-25 03:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
底又喊对了吧!“90 % possibility, 1/24 morning will be bottom.”
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