测试一下你的TA Accumen

wymond

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"判别我们在那种Market中是trading里面最最重要的一件事"------新手请教，就你给的这个例子，何时能做出判断：此时是一个trend，而不是一个range呢？

quickcow

Nice post...

ddd

wymond 发表于 2011-10-16 16:58
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"判别我们在那种Market中是trading里面最最重要的一件事"------新手请教，就你给的这个 ...

coolgal 发表于 2011-10-15 18:34
netrul,  
range bound until real breakout.
recent move could be a false breakdown, or a real break ...

SPY Daily 10/4 的杠叫做 “Key Reversal" - gap lower open after a very bearish previous bar, and pushed lower intraday, but made a REMARKABLE reversal of >4.6% up closing near the top, all with strong volume. That should have drawn your full attention. I left message on this board intraday and has thought the market was potentially reversed.

The following day I found little retrace to built my long positions. So I started to chase this rally and quickly found reward. I then left multiple messages on this board that I was no longer (day) trading on the short side for this rally.

All has left then was to confirm, confirm, and reconfirm with HH - HL in the following days - an  attribute of TRENDING.

What I'm watching now is a (> 2-day LL - LH) or a (> 23% retrace) for any signs of trend strength weakening. But my bias now is on that a potential short squeeze is coming.

wymond

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谢谢

RedCedar

VIX,
zig zag (much less scale than past months) goes down.
95%

abracadabra

austinjoe

北京哥哥

ddd 发表于 2011-10-16 00:54
我的看法 II:

那么我们看看这个图在Sharp Reversal 之前走了个什么形态呢？基本上是一下一上两笔。

3d 兄好！

这个图对我不太ring a bell, 看不清楚，如果一定要我说，我猜neutral to bearish，因为前期趋势向下，目前的consolidation后仍可能继续保持这一趋势。但我交易一般会避开这种趋势不清晰的市场，因为太较劲。如果一定要做，设定好自己的time frame最重要，因为ＤＴ和ST对这种图形的理解应该完全不同，对我而言，我还会参考周，月线的走势才能给你更多的信息。

coolgal

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Thanks, very helpful.