对大市未来走势的判断。

hunting

Read0nly

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谢回图。这是另外一种画法，俺也尝试过。如果把底下的蓝线上移大第一个大顶的位置，刚好过第三顶，而且巨大的下降通道的中线直指1000，看上去有点恐怖。MACD的交叉是对下跌趋势的确认。

短期俺看反弹的根据是Slow Stochastic的位置在过去是要有一个反弹的。所以在这个位置上俺选择持有等待反弹，而不是现在割肉。那个600的底能否实现还要慢慢看。

contr

Read0nly 发表于 2011-8-20 22:31 从FA将，这是俺不敢看的更低的原因。想法是这样，如果继续下跌，OBM上台后靠QE1+2的救市努力完全打了水漂 ...

newsoft

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守株待兔

Diver

Read0nly 发表于 2011-8-20 23:43
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谢回图。这是另外一种画法，俺也尝试过。如果把底下的蓝线上移大第一个大顶的位置，刚 ...

Now most people agree that QE3 would be a nuclear weapon of bulls. I am one of them. Only very few people argue that QE3 would be useless for bulls. But I think QE3 would be useful for bulls and useless for economic recovery.

Further, most of people expect Ben to announce QE3 next Friday, while some people think Ben will never hand out QE3. I happen to be someone who believe Ben will hand out QE3 in the future but not next Friday.

Now, things are simpler. Will there be a QE3 announcement next Friday? This is the very focus of most people currently.

Thus, my forecast is "Buy the rumor now and sell the news later"! no matter there is a QE3 or not on next Friday. Bull MM's will not start action on next Friday.

Read0nly

Diver 发表于 2011-8-21 00:27
Now most people agree that QE3 would be a nuclear weapon of bulls. I am one of them. Only very f ...

“QE3 would be useful for bulls and useless for economic recovery.”
同意。能对股市起“一定”的作用就算没白费劲。怕就怕QE3没QE1+2那么有效。所以最有效的是不宣而战，让人们感觉到QE3+的实施，却没有明确的宣布，对熊军的压力最大。

hunting

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我也来张超级无敌熊王图，，，，

sexydaytrader

jeff110

胡同高手如云，赞一个．　不过现在里里外外都看跌，到处熊声一片　（看看这里置顶的文字就知道了，几乎是100%熊），这会不会是股市向好的依据呢？

源济

umqasr

janez

Read0nly 发表于 2011-8-20 23:07
这个帽子有点大，俺承受不起。开玩笑。
如果你看过俺早先没写完的“牛旗还能扛多久”，就知道俺对这种大 ...

赞一个！

stonehorse

befriend

Thanks.

cc2265

永恒罗马

henggma

sc168

Thanks

goldbug

Buche