A looming bearish sign

Im168

hhli3

sandera

thanks for sharing.

umqasr

龙腾四海

顶

bucks

The signal on 60min remains positive, but my other signals on shorter timeframe(15min) has shown an ongoing correction. So at next rally I will exit all longs I entered when the buy was triggered. It could be premature since the sell signal may have not been given by that time, but it's safer in  current crazy market
(update: 10:40am on 08/25/2011)

安全套儿

回复 bucks 的帖子

收盘的时候应该变负数了。

bucks

The reading managed to stay in positive territory in spite of being tipped down.

Considering tomorrow's big event and everyone's anticipation on Big Ben's talk, it's hard to call how much we can trust this signal. The short-term model has confirmed a sell action, while a push-up is still owed on hourly chart by this signal. So my wild guess is that the market will break down from today's range, form a positive divergence and then a sharp rally in afternoon. If the rally fails to decisively break through today's high (SPY 18.8), the signal will slide into negative, at which I will switch to sell mode. Well, just a speculative guess and FYI.

stonehorse

silkway

bucks 发表于 2011-8-25 20:43
The reading managed to stay in positive territory in spite of being tipped down.

Considering tom ...

Thanks for sharing.  It prefect matched the market today.

silicon_beaver

bucks 发表于 2011-8-25 16:43
The reading managed to stay in positive territory in spite of being tipped down.

Considering tom ...

correct forecast.
market opened red and closed green.

traderA

  LZ 的 indicator 和MACD 的12天线 （绿线）给出的信号比较接近，效果更好一些。 感觉上MACD这样的indicator对中波和大波比较有用，对于窄幅震荡市的预测就比较有限

aimei

Nicely done
thank

could you please post the latest one (I mean last Friday)

bucks

just a quick update (the last one too):

The indicator unfortunately is showing a negative divergence and in danger of slipping below zero. On top of other analysis, my interpretation is that the market needs to quickly break through the high on last Thursday (SPY 119.4) to confirm an upward rally. Otherwise, the market may be stuck in the current range for a while, or even return to bearish mode in a worse case scenario. After all, the longer-term outlook is not pretty.

thanks for all your attention and support, and good luck.

silkway

Any update please?

bucks

回复 silkway 的帖子

in solid green zone. My worries in last update didn't become true, and the market chose to break high and the signal ensued

silkway

bucks 发表于 2011-8-30 14:19
回复 silkway 的帖子

in solid green zone. My worries in last update didn't become true, and the mark ...

Cool.  Thanks for sharing.

COS

Im168