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[灌水] [Breaking News] Japanese nuclear crisis: Continuing updates

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发表于 2011-3-15 06:04 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


本帖最后由 greenback 于 2011-3-15 23:32 编辑

SOMA, Japan (AP) -- A new fire broke out at a nuclear reactor early Wednesday, a day after the power plant emitted a burst of radiation that panicked an already edgy Japan and left the government struggling to contain a spiraling crisis caused by last week's earthquake and tsunami.

The latest blaze erupted in the outer housing of the containment vessel at the No. 4 unit at the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear complex, said Hajimi Motujuku, a spokesman for the plant's operator, Tokyo Electric Power Co. Japan's nuclear safety agency also confirmed the fire, whose cause was not immediately known.

On Tuesday, a fire broke out in the same reactor's fuel storage pond -- an area where used nuclear fuel is kept cool -- causing radioactivity to be released into the atmosphere.

Radiation levels in areas around the nuclear plant, which rose early Tuesday afternoon, appeared to subside by evening, officials said. But the unease remained in a country trying to recover from the massive disasters that are believed to have killed more than 10,000 people and battered the world's third-largest economy.

The radiation leak caused the government to order 140,000 people living within 20 miles (30 kilometers) of the plant to seal themselves indoors to avoid exposure, and authorities declared a ban on commercial air traffic through the area. Worries about radiation rippled through Tokyo and other areas far beyond that cordon. The stock market plunged for a second day, dropping 10 percent.

The troubles cascaded Tuesday at the Dai-ichi plant, where there have already been explosions at two reactor buildings since Friday's disasters. An explosion at a third reactor blasted a 26-foot (8-meter) hole in the building and, experts said, damaged a vessel below the reactor, although not the reactor core. Three hours later, a fire broke out at a fourth reactor, which had been offline for maintenance.

In a nationally televised address Tuesday, Prime Minister Naoto Kan said radiation had seeped from four of the plant's six reactors. The International Atomic Energy Agency said Japanese officials informed it that the fire was in a pool where used nuclear fuel rods are stored and that "radioactivity is being released directly into the atmosphere." Long after the fire was extinguished, a Japanese official said the pool might still be boiling.

Depending on how bad the blast was at Unit 2, experts said more radioactive materials could seep out. If the water in the storage pond in Unit 4 boils away, the fuel rods could be exposed, leaking more virulent radiation.

Experts noted that much of the leaking radiation was apparently in steam from boiling water -- and the falling radiation levels suggest the situation could be stabilizing.

Government spokesman Yukio Edano said the radiation leak potentially affected public health. But authorities and experts said the risks to the public diminished the farther the distance from the plant. At its most intense, the leak released a radioactive dose in one hour at the site 400 times the amount a person normally receives in a year. Within six hours, that level had dropped dramatically.

A person would have to be exposed to that dose for 10 hours for it to be fatal, said Jae Moo-sung, a nuclear engineering expert at Seoul's Hanyang University.

Radiation elsewhere never reached that level. In Tokyo, 170 miles (270 kilometers) to the southwest, authorities reported radiation levels nine times normal -- too small, officials said, to threaten the 39 million people in and around the capital. Weather patterns helped, shifting Tuesday night to the southeast, blowing any potential radiation from the plant toward the sea.

"It's not good, but I don't think it's a disaster," said Steve Crossley, an Australia-based radiation physicist. "If the radioactive material gets out, it's a major problem. That doesn't appear to be happening in Japan, and that's the big difference. As long as you are not near it, it doesn't pose a health risk."

Though Kan and other officials urged calm, the developments fueled a growing panic in Japan and around the world amid widespread uncertainty over what would happen next. In the worst case scenario, one or more of the reactor cores would completely melt down, a disaster that could spew large amounts of radioactivity into the atmosphere.

Foreigners began leaving in larger numbers. China organized an evacuation of its citizens from Japan's stricken northeast. The U.S. urged Americans to avoid travel to Japan. Austria moved its embassy from Tokyo to Osaka. Lufthansa diverted its two daily flights to Tokyo to other Japanese cities.

The U.S. Navy shifted some ships from Japan's east coast to western waters to avoid hazards from debris dragged into the sea by the tsunami and to be away from any radiation plume. One ship at its base south of Tokyo detected low levels of radiation from the Fukushima plant.

In evacuation centers for people living near the plant, Japanese worried about radiation contamination, calling it an unseen threat, and complained that the government was not forthcoming with information.

"Nuclear power is the most frightening, even more than a tsunami. The government, the ruling party, administrators, nobody tells us, the citizens, what is really happening," Isao Araki, 63, said at an evacuation center.

Kan's government has been more open and transparent than previous administrations in keeping the nation informed of developments in the nuclear crisis. Edano, his top spokesman, appears frequently before the press with updates that have been widely praised for their frankness and clarity.

However, given past governments' notorious record of covering up bad news on nuclear emergencies, many Japanese are skeptical they are getting a complete picture.

The radiation fears added to the catastrophe that has been unfolding in Japan. Four days after the 9.0-magnitude earthquake and tsunami, millions of people strung out along the east coast had little food, water or heat, and already chilly temperatures dropped further as a cold front moved in. Up to 450,000 people are in temporary shelters.

Officials have only confirmed about 3,300 deaths, but officials have said the toll was likely to top 10,000 in one of the four hardest-hit areas. Experts involved in the 2004 Asian tsunami said there was no question more people died, despite Japan's high state of preparation, and like the earlier disaster, many thousands may never be found.

In a rare bit of good news, rescuers found two survivors Tuesday, one of them a 70-year-old woman whose house was torn off its foundation by the tsunami.

Mostly, though, search teams found few signs of life. More than 200 rescue crews from the U.S. and Britain poured Tuesday into the coastal city of Ofunato, finding little but rubble and people looking for lost possessions. Whole city blocks lay flattened. A yacht came to rest atop the remains of a two-story gas station.

Amid the debris, 32-year-old Ken Suioya used a crowbar to try to force opon a safe, which he said had been thrown from his father's destroyed home and into a trench.

"My house has gone, our family's restaurant has gone, our car has gone -- this is part of what we have left," he said, gesturing to unyielding gray metal.

As rescue teams and survivors hunted through ruined communities and officials struggled to deliver supplies to the displaced, urgent attention was focused on the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear complex, the most severely damaged of three nuclear plants on the battered coast. Three of the plant's six reactors were out of service for maintenance at the time of Friday's disasters, which compromised cooling systems at all of the reactors. Before Tuesday's fire in Unit 4's storage pool, workers were desperately trying to pump seawater to cool the fuel rods in the three active reactors.

Conditions in Unit 2 are less clear after a blast near a suppression pool, into which fuel rods are plunged to cool them and which also serves as an emergency receptical for excess steam, said plant owner Tokyo Electric Power Co. The nuclear core was not damaged but the bottom of the surrounding container may have been, said Shigekazu Omukai, a spokesman for Japan's nuclear safety agency.

The IAEA's head, Yukoiya Amano, urged the Japanese government to provide better information to the agency about the situation.

Temperatures in the two other offline reactors, units 5 and 6, were slightly elevated, said Edano, the chief cabinet secretary. Fourteen pumps have been brought in to get seawater into the other reactors, and technicians were trying to figure out how to pump water into Unit 4, where the storage pool fire occurred. Early Wednesday, Tokyo Electric Power officials said they had scrapped a plan to use helicopters, deeming them impractical, and said they were considering other options, including using fire engines.

About 70 workers remained at the complex, struggling with its myriad problems. The workers, all in protective gear, are being rotated in and out of the danger zone quickly to reduce their radiation exposure.

The prime minister and other officials warned there is a danger of more leaks and ordered a wider emergency cordon, telling people within 20 miles (30 kilometers) of the Fukushima plant to stay indoors to avoid exposure that could make people sick.

"Please do not go outside. Please stay indoors. Please close windows and make your homes airtight," Edano told residents in the danger zone.

"These are figures that potentially affect health. There is no mistake about that," he said.

Some 70,000 people had already been evacuated from a 12-mile (20-kilometer) radius from the Dai-ichi complex. About 140,000 remain in the wider zone.

The multiple problems at Fukushima appear to be the nuclear industry's most severe accident in 25 years, since the meltdown at the Chernobyl power plant in the former Soviet Union.

Experts said that differing designs in the reactors made it unlikely that Fukushima would degenerate into a widespread contamination problem. The biggest difference is that in Chernobyl's case the reactor core caught fire and there was no containment shell -- thick reinforced concrete around the reactor.

"We're a long way from fuel material coming out of the reactor in the way it did in Chernobyl," said Crossley, the physicist. "In this case, the fuel is still contained."

Physicist Edwin Lyman of the Union of Concerned Scientists, an advocacy group that pushes for nuclear industry safety, said it was unlikely that a plume from the Fukushima plant would rise as high as the one from Chernobyl, which means that radioactive material would be deposited closer to the site.

"That may spare Tokyo from the worst of it," he said.


Yuasa reported from Tokyo. Associated Press writer Elaine Kurtenbach in Tokyo and David Stringer in Ofunato contributed to this report.
 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-15 06:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
Note the highlighted statements by the experts, which are consistent with a previous analysis from an MIT professor posted earlier ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-15 07:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- Japanese stocks appeared poised for a rebound on Wednesday of a small portion of its losses, with futures for the benchmark Nikkei Stock Average /quotes/comstock/64e!i:ni225 (JP:NI225 8,605, -1,015, -10.55%) opening 3.8% higher on the Singapore Exchange, according to FactSet. The futures' gains came amid hope that the worst of Japan's post-quake nuclear crisis was over, despite a new fire reported at the heavily damaged Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, as well as reported bargain hunting by some investors. The rise also followed a dramatic 10.6% drop in the Nikkei Average on Tuesday, as radiation levels were reported rising, both near the plant and, to a lesser extent, in Tokyo to the south.
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-15 07:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
Japan's Nikkei Average extends gains, up 5.1%
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-15 10:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- The Bank of Japan said it was offering a further 3.5 trillion yen ($43 billion) worth of same-day funds to help calm the markets, according to reports Wednesday. The move comes on the back of a ¥20 trillion injection Tuesday, as Japanese stocks crashed, with a 10.6% drop in the Nikkei Stock Average /quotes/comstock/64e!i:ni225 (JP:NI225 8,981, +375.99, +4.37%) .
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发表于 2011-3-15 11:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks for the news update!  Let's hope for the best.
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-15 11:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
SYDNEY (MarketWatch) — The first week is critical after a nuclear power plant disaster, according to one academic.

Since an earthquake and subsequent tsunami struck the country on Friday, three explosions and two fires have rocked the Fukushima plant in northeast Japan while operator Tokyo Electric Power /quotes/comstock/64e!9501 (JP:9501 1,221, 0.00, 0.00%)   /quotes/comstock/11i!tkecf (TKECF 16.50, -2.50, -13.16%)  fought to keep the complex from experiencing a full-blown meltdown and catastrophic radiation release.

After elevated radiation levels were detected near the plant and as far away as Tokyo on Tuesday, the Japanese government said people within 20 kilometers of the reactor site should evacuate while those within 30 kilometers should stay indoors.
JAPAN IN CRISIS | MarketWatch Topic: Disasters

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MARKET REACTION
• Anatomy of a market meltdown (First Take)
• Tokyo stocks plunge, leading losses in Asia

NEWS ANALYSIS
• Hulbert: Fear grows — a contrarian good sign
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• Disaster in Japan: Breaking News Blog
134106

Hopes that the situation was stabilizing were dealt a blow on Wednesday after a new fire broke out at the complex. Read story on latest fire

Still, there could be reason to hope that the severity of the situation may lessen soon, according to one academic.

“I think that the real danger zone is the first four or five days,” said San Diego State University professor Murray Jennex.

“When you shut down a nuclear reactor, it doesn’t automatically turn off,” he said. After the Fukushima Daiichi plant was shut down he said that there likely wasn’t fissioning but that decay heat is probably increasing temperatures at the reactors.

Eventually, the rate of decay slows and “if you quit cooling [the plants], after a week you’re still going to have a problem but it’s going to be a much slower problem,” he said.

Radioactive decay refers to the spontaneous disintegration of an atomic nucleus into energy or radiation or both, according to a definition provided by the Australian government’s nuclear science and technology organization on its website.

Fission usually refers to the division of a heavy nucleus into two unequal masses, a process that then emits neutrons, gamma radiation and a large amount of energy, according to ANSTO.
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-15 11:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
Japan suspends work at stricken nuke plant due to surge in radiation

Eric Talmadge and Shino Yuasa, Associated Press, On Tuesday March 15, 2011, 11:58 pm

FUKUSHIMA, Japan (AP) -- Japan suspended operations to keep its stricken nuclear plant from melting down Wednesday after surging radiation made it too dangerous to stay.

Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano said the workers dousing the reactors in a frantic effort to cool them needed to withdraw.

"The workers cannot carry out even minimal work at the plant now," Edano said. "Because of the radiation risk we are on standby," he said.

The nuclear crisis has triggered international alarm and partly overshadowed the human tragedy caused by Friday's earthquake and tsunami, which pulverized Japan's northeastern coastline, killing an estimated 10,000 people and severely damaging the nuclear plant.

Since then authorities have tried frantically to avert an environmental catastrophe at the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex in northeastern Japan, 170 miles (270 kilometers) north Tokyo.

Edano said the government expects to ask the U.S. military for help. He did not elaborate. He said the government is still considering whether and how to take up the various offers of help from other countries.

The surge in radiation was apparently the result of a Tuesday explosion in the complex's Unit 4 reactor, according to officials with Japan's nuclear safety agency. That blast is thought to have damaged the reactor's suppression chamber, a water-filled pipe outside the nuclear core that is part of the emergency cooling system.

Officials had originally planned use helicopters and fire trucks to spray water in a desperate effort to prevent further radiation leaks and to cool down the reactors.

"It's not so simple that everything will be resolved by pouring in water. We are trying to avoid creating other problems," Edano said.

"We are actually supplying water from the ground, but supplying water from above involves pumping lots of water and that involves risk. We also have to consider the safety of the helicopters above," he said.

A U.S. nuclear expert said he feared the worst.

"It's more of a surrender," said David Lochbaum, a nuclear engineer who now heads the nuclear safety program for the Union of Concerned Scientists, an activist group. "It's not like you wait 10 days and the radiation goes away. In that 10 days things are going to get worse."

"It's basically a sign that there's nothing left to do but throw in the towel," Lochbaum said.

The government has ordered some 140,000 people in the vicinity to stay indoors. A little radiation was also detected in Tokyo, 150 miles (240 kilometers) to the south, triggering panic buying of food and water.

There are six reactors at the plant, and the three that were operating at the time have been rocked by explosions. The one still on fire was offline at the time of the magnitude 9.0 quake, Japan's most powerful on record.

The Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency estimated that 70 percent of the rods have been damaged at the No. 1 reactor.

Japan's national news agency, Kyodo, said that 33 percent of the fuel rods at the No. 2 reactor were damaged and that the cores of both reactors were believed to have partially melted.

"We don't know the nature of the damage," said Minoru Ohgoda, spokesman for the country's nuclear safety agency. "It could be either melting, or there might be some holes in them."

Meanwhile, the outer housing of the containment vessel at the No. 4 unit erupted in flames early Wednesday, said Hajimi Motujuku, a spokesman for the plant's operator, Tokyo Electric Power Co.

Japan's nuclear safety agency said fire and smoke could no longer be seen at Unit 4, but that it was unable to confirm that the blaze had been put out.

Yuasa reported from Tokyo. Associated Press writers Elaine Kurtenbach in Tokyo and David Stringer in Ofunato contributed to this report.
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-15 11:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) -- Japanese shares retained most of their gains as trading resumed in the afternoon session on Wednesday, with most stocks posting strong gains to recoup part of their recent losses. The Nikkei Stock Average /quotes/comstock/64e!i:ni225 (JP:NI225 8,943, +338.33, +3.93%) climbed 4.3% to 8,974.38, after shrinking more than 16% in the previous two sessions, as investors looked beyond concerns about radiation from a stricken nuclear power plant in northeastern Japan; the broader Topix index added 5.4% to 807.79. The two benchmarks ended the morning session 4.4% and 5.1% higher, respectively. Shares of Hitachi Ltd. /quotes/comstock/13*!hit/quotes/nls/hit (HIT 50.05, +0.05, +0.10%) /quotes/comstock/64e!6501 (JP:6501 414.00, +52.00, +14.36%) rose 14.4%, Japan Petroleum Exploration Co. /quotes/comstock/64e!1662 (JP:1662 3,415, +345.00, +11.24%) /quotes/comstock/11i!jptxf (JPTXF 0.00, 0.00, 0.00%) added 11.6% and Kobe Steel Ltd. /quotes/comstock/64e!5406 (JP:5406 187.00, +20.00, +11.98%) /quotes/comstock/11i!kbsty (KBSTY 11.20, -0.50, -4.27%) jumped 10.2% to rank among the big gainers.
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-16 12:56 AM | 显示全部楼层
Nikkei 225 9,032 +427 4.96%
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-16 01:00 AM | 显示全部楼层
Nikkei 225        9,109.47        +504.32        +5.86%
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-16 02:05 AM | 显示全部楼层
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — Japanese shares rebounded Wednesday, attempting to recoup some of the hefty losses suffered the previous two days, even as the threat of a major nuclear radiation leak kept investors on edge.

After losing more than 16% of its value in the previous two days, the Nikkei Stock Average (JP:NI225 9,094, +488.57, +5.68%)  finished 5.7% higher on Wednesday, with gains spread widely across sectors. The advance, which also snapped a four-day losing-streak, was the Nikkei’s biggest increase since its 5.8% surge on Nov. 10, 2008.

The wider Topix index gained 6.6% to 817.63.

The rise, although tentative against the background of continued crisis at Tokyo Electric Power Co.’s stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power facility, came as investors drew some comfort from the Bank of Japan’s efforts to grease the short-term money markets by injecting massive doses of liquidity.

Also lending support to the stock market, several brokerages retained a positive view on Japanese equities because of cheap valuations and hopes the economy will limp back to normality in due course.

The analysts held this bullishness despite the scale of the impact from Friday’s magnitude 9.0 earthquake, an expected economic loss in the tens of billions of dollars and a severe beating to corporate earnings.
United Nations: Japan Nuclear Situation Worrying

The International Atomic Energy Agency warns about the damage at Japan's Fukushima power plant. Video courtesy of Reuters

“Friday’s tragic events do not alter our view that investors should be overweight of Japan. Crucially, we believe Japanese equities are unlikely to follow their 21% fall seen in the five months after the Kobe earthquake in 1995,” analysts at Credit Suisse wrote in a note.

The analysts said that after Tuesday’s fall, Japanese stock valuations in terms of price-to-book value are now at a 47% discount to global markets — an all-time low — while price-to-equity valuations are also lower than global market valuations.

Japanese corporations also held cash that was equivalent to 32% of their market capitalization, they said.

The stock gains also aided investor sentiment in the region, which was hurt by Tuesday’s panic-selling in Tokyo. South Korea’s Kospi rose 1.8%, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 (AU:XJO 4,558, +29.48, +0.65%)  advanced 0.7% and Taiwan’s Taiex finished 1.1% higher. In afternoon trading, India’s Sensex (XX:SENSEX 18,404, +235.91, +1.30%)  and China’s Shanghai Composite (CN:SHCOMP 2,927, +30.76, +1.06%)  each advanced 1.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index (HK:HANGSENG 22,647, -31.43, -0.14%)  was little changed.

Geography of disaster

Barclays economists Kyohei Morita and Yuichoro Nagai wrote in a note that the four Japanese prefectures of Iwate, Miyagi, Fukushima and Ibaraki, which were hurt the most by Friday’s earthquake — Japan’s worst on record — account for about 6.2% of the nation’s gross domestic product, 6.8% of its population, 7.2% of private-sector capital stock and 6.8% of overall businesses.

“Based on currently available information, we estimate that damages could exceed 15 trillion yen ($186 billion),” or about 3% of Japan’s GDP, they said, citing provisional estimates.

Credit Suisse, meanwhile, expects the U.S. dollar to surge to ¥89 by the end of this year — a factor that would help Japanese exporters by increasing their repatriated earnings.

“We believe that this time around, the authorities would cap the strength of the yen,” they said.
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