Thoughts from Egypt Uprising: US(1870-1900) vs China(1980-2010)

bokchoy888

Based on the information we've seen, recently more and more we feel the social and economic changes in China between 1980and 2010 are some kind of being similar to the U.S. in gilded age(1870-1895)  plus some points between 1896 and 1926. Common points :

suddenly  transformed from debtor nation to creditor nation;  
large scale of urbanization in process;
more and more individual farms and farmers are in the slow process of bankruptcy;
huge consumer markets are forming;
the rise of monopolies of huge business to eliminate competition ( In China today they are state owned and related business);
the cruel social and economic injustices;
the damage of corruption is quite extensive and reach right up the political chain of command;
general acceptance of illegal activities corrupt the thinking of people in society throughout the country and encourage a carefree disregard for the law;
higher cost of distribution of general goods;
rising middle class and appearance of managerial professionals;
bigger size of social members slipped to bottom of more fixed social pyramid structure;
wider maldistribution of wealth;
overproduction , overcapacity with over investment;
overoptimistic on its own future;
underestimate its potential strategic competitors;
lacking social safe net which might cause social unrest at recession time .

Different points are: China has top down central government with iron fist, U.S. not;

U.S. has strong tradition of invention and renovation, China not;
U.S. has more stable political structure which can channel out people's anger,  on the contrary China has peasant violence /revolution traditions.
With the swift change of information technology, The grid control of government to society becomes more and more vulnerable. Egypt is a typical case. Not only natural disaster such as starvation also huge size of social unfairness  would lead to social unrest even bloody revolution. One final crucial point I need to mention is that China has accumulated huge unbalance number of 24 million between young males and young females since 1980 which surely will (not would) lead to social unrest  in 5-10 yrs.In another words the traditional  chinese culture would push to committe state suicide.That wuold be global human disaster. In bible's teaching human beings are building Babylon Tower. quote from official media as following
最新统计数据显示 我国出生人口男女性别比达119.45∶100
“男盈女亏”警钟长鸣

dividend_growth

TG现在乘好日子时侯不改革，到日子不好过时就没机会了。

由于中国的GDP还在增长，财富还在增加，暂时不会出现埃及突尼斯类型的动乱。