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到今天为止MM还在按去年四月做头,明天可能还要涨。

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发表于 2011-2-1 05:20 PM | 显示全部楼层


顶一下,给大家加分,哈!既然是论坛,就应该自由发音,先把对错搁在一边。炒股嘛,其实你是市场的参与者没错,但更多的时候你是在给牛熊做裁判。俺的意思是,即使你在某个阶段‘偏爱’熊或者牛,都不要带有‘激进’或者不太尊重另一方,记住,因为你是股市游戏中的’裁判‘!

恭喜大家兔年发财!
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发表于 2011-2-1 05:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
Of course you may post to agree or disagree and that's what cobra wants and what makes a forum i ...
nasd 发表于 2011-2-1 17:10


That's is pretty much a blanket statement.  There has been no historical precedent, and I believe no true argument can be made to support that.
As has been mentioned, bears here have been calling for top forever, and none of them have even entertained the idea that they've been wrong.
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发表于 2011-2-1 06:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
死都不能做空~
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发表于 2011-2-1 07:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
最近不少人都在看/喊要重复4,5月再崩盘...

我一再强调我不是阴谋论的支持者,但其实用阴谋论非常容易的 ...
X!nG 发表于 2011-1-31 23:02


Absolutely!
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发表于 2011-2-1 08:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
according to Wikipedia, NYSE market capitalization was US$13.39 trillion as of Dec 2010. so 35%  ...
layschips 发表于 2011-2-1 13:59


The leverage ratio of a typical investment bank is 10~15X. So QE2 of $600B gets you $6~9TB, which is big money at least in the short term ...
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发表于 2011-2-1 08:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
顶!
顶!顶!
顶!顶!顶!顶!
顶!顶!顶!顶!顶!顶!顶!顶!
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发表于 2011-2-1 08:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-2-1 10:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 Diver 于 2011-2-1 22:45 编辑

Sorry, my typo and mistakes here. I meant Friday's NFP. And tomorrow is not Thursday.

So, I guess the US stock market will continue rallying tomorrow (Wednesday), no matter ADP is good or poor, and probably Thursday, too.

Now that US stock market indices have been kidnapped by oil sector, the macro-economic data does not matter for now. As Egyptian tension will not be eased soon, crude oil will keep skyrocketing now. Since crude oil price has stood up above $100/barrel today, it is likely rushing up to $150 in the short term. That may push DJIA and SPX up crazily. That looks like the cow has become a mad bull, but it is reasonable. So NFP may not matter any more.

I give up my bearish view now. Ironically, Egyptian crisis saved bulls and prevents US stock market to pullback due to overbought.

我说句中立的话,目前股市涨不涨,根本不是由便宜不便宜决定的,而是动能加上QE2决定的。大家都在想着STRON ...
Diver 发表于 2011-2-1 00:30

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 楼主| 发表于 2011-2-1 11:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
Those are big words, someone famously declared "the End of History", too bad you're not as famou ...
temujin 发表于 2011-2-1 16:25


耐心点嘛,等俺有时间贴点想法细节出来,那时再飞砖头不迟。对与不对与人出不出名没关系,你权当俺想借坛子出名好了。其实,跟俺的帖子,顶也好驳也罢,俺知道都是抬举俺。
大过节的,等着8小时后看春晚。祝牛熊猪们兔年大吉。

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发表于 2011-2-1 11:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
Sorry, my typo and mistakes here. I meant Friday's NFP. And tomorrow is not Thursday.

So, I guess ...
Diver 发表于 2011-2-1 22:34



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发表于 2011-2-1 11:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
耐心点嘛,等俺有时间贴点想法细节出来,那时再飞砖头不迟。对与不对与人出不出名没关系,你权当俺想借 ...
Read0nly 发表于 2011-2-1 23:05



   
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发表于 2011-2-2 04:10 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 48# Diver

"So, I guess the US stock market will continue rallying tomorrow (Wednesday), no matter ADP is good or poor, and probably Thursday, too."

明天涨,后天还涨,还让熊熊活不?
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发表于 2011-2-2 08:45 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 41# ahdou


    Very True!!!
Enjoy good respectful discussion!!!
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发表于 2011-2-2 12:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
ddd, 股市大跳是向上还是向下?
给大家讲个“小故事”。这个故事非常地短,只有一句话:我1981年来美国,有生以来第一次到银行开自己的账户 ...
很快,股市大跳,经济上升,房市大涨。后来才知道,那是74年经济危机的结局。

ddd 发表于 2011-2-1 02:23
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发表于 2011-2-3 01:51 AM | 显示全部楼层
耐心点嘛,等俺有时间贴点想法细节出来,那时再飞砖头不迟。对与不对与人出不出名没关系,你权当俺想借 ...
Read0nly 发表于 2011-2-1 23:05


这位同学脾气真好。建议继续把您首页的图画下去,看变化多少。
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