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楼主: Read0nly

俺还是继续看顶,小心双顶诱多。

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发表于 2010-12-3 10:49 AM | 显示全部楼层


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发表于 2010-12-3 12:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
now it can be double top; after break out up (it will), it could be fake break out.
what should we do?

drop dead? ok, show me some decent bear bars first.
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发表于 2010-12-3 01:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
If you are interested in knowing more about the view from market profile check this out:

http://jamesdaltontrading.com/bl ... JamesDaltonTrading+(James+Dalton+Trading)
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发表于 2010-12-3 09:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-12-3 10:25 PM | 显示全部楼层
赞老大的提醒!MM高顶出货翻脸护盘,逼小熊short covered while building a nice bull trap before fat fingers不得不妨,毕竟市场需要理性,不能长期too bullish with weak recovery。下周或下下周的市场走向可能会被看出些端倪或破绽。不管是wave 4的2nd leg down or double tops还是wave 5 的疯狂,大家最好还是随时系好安全带。
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发表于 2010-12-3 11:25 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 1# Read0nly


   
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发表于 2010-12-4 01:11 AM | 显示全部楼层
现在无法说是双顶还是以1300 为目标的飚升,一切由政治决定。不可武断。
U.S. Senate Tax Battle Begins: A Deal Could be in the Works!

The debate over the expiring Bush tax cuts has shifted to the U.S. Senate and votes could come as soon as Saturday. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) has scheduled votes on a plan by Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-MT) that would extend the tax breaks for the middle class but allow them to expire for those in the top income brackets.
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发表于 2010-12-4 11:28 AM | 显示全部楼层
Yulp
Ding 600B
Thank so much~
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发表于 2010-12-4 12:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
顶。FIB 61.8%的对应SP500在1228.73, 不能有效突破前确实要小心。另外象AAPL这样权重超大,形态又走成了几乎NOTEL在2000年崩盘前类似的样子,我的想象力实在有限,它能把大盘带到多高?倒是如果崩盘对指标的破环力超大。

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发表于 2010-12-5 02:45 AM | 显示全部楼层
trade28 发表于 2010-12-3 01:49


What is the implication from this chart? Bearish?
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发表于 2010-12-5 02:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复  Read0nly


1。进入12 月,Tax deal逼在眼前,而至今尚未定论。 If vote pass for tax deal extention, CHEER! we need rally, but 如果Tax deal 最终不能领共党完全满意,会有huge sell off, we need huge rally before the sell off -这个顶就是为可能性之一而逃做准备的。
所以牛头上还有一把刀。
2。周线上4月和11月2个顶的背离是牛头上的另一把刀,这和大钱一直在烧有关系。
Every 牛牛要pay close attention to this tax deal, till it passed.。
oldpigwang 发表于 2010-12-3 02:23


下周到顶了!
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发表于 2010-12-5 02:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
顶。FIB 61.8%的对应SP500在1228.73, 不能有效突破前确实要小心。另外象AAPL这样权重超大,形态又走成了几乎NOTEL在2000年崩盘前类似的样子,我的想象力实在有限,它能把大盘带到多高?倒是如果崩盘对指标的破环力超大。
wls31 发表于 2010-12-4 12:27



厉害!
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发表于 2010-12-5 05:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
我支持楼主的看法,大顶就在眼前

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发表于 2010-12-6 04:05 AM | 显示全部楼层
What is the implication from this chart? Bearish?
wisgo 发表于 2010-12-5 02:45



    I don't know. I am still learning market profile and I don't use it to predict market, i use it to see possible support and resistance. according to Mr. James Dalton (in the earlier link I posted), "Friday, December 3rd: No matter what price does today, the market-generated information that we look at conveys extreme long risk. This risk could be mitigated by a sharp initial break followed by a recovery as this could serve to repair some of the poor underlying structure."  it sounds bearish to me.
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发表于 2010-12-6 07:15 AM | 显示全部楼层
像诱熊多一点。
变,是股市的性格。
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发表于 2010-12-6 07:52 AM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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发表于 2010-12-6 03:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
I don't know. I am still learning market profile and I don't use it to predict market, i u ...
trade28 发表于 2010-12-6 01:05


Thanks a lot! I also read a bit about market profile, learning as you do.
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发表于 2010-12-7 02:22 AM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks a lot! I also read a bit about market profile, learning as you do.
wisgo 发表于 2010-12-6 15:32



    glad to know one more people here also interested in MP.
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