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[原创] I doubt that USD is turning up anytime soon.

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发表于 2010-10-18 07:43 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


eurusd.png

EURUSD, uptrend channel broken upwards on 6-Oct at the same time the critical Fibonacci level level 1.3895. To me this is a very bullish sign and I don't think the momentum will diminish so quickly and I will not call for a top so soon.

USDJPY.png

USDJPY, I previously thought it a falling wedge after a 2H&2S pattern and expected USDJPY turned up after the election. It turned out that at first Kan government intervened the currency market after won the election, but it abandoned its defense at the critical level of 82.87 and allowed USDJPY to sink below 81! Again to me this a very bearish sign for USDJPY and I don't think it's going to change the direction anytime soon.

gold.png

Gold also broke out of the large rising wedge to north in weekly chart, so the uptrend is now defined in the green channel but not confined by the dotted red line.

gold_d.png

Gold monthly chart, the mini up channel since late September is still intact.

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发表于 2010-10-18 04:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
SF
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2010-10-18 04:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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发表于 2010-10-18 04:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-10-18 05:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-10-18 06:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
Great analysis!
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发表于 2010-10-18 08:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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发表于 2010-10-18 08:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-10-18 09:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
good analysis!  thank you
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