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[转贴] Wall Street Sentiment

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发表于 2010-9-24 04:25 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


Wall Street Sentiment is one of many sentiment indicators we chart.  Wall Street Sentiment Survey data are provided courtesy of Mark Young of Equity Guardian Group. Data are complied from the results of a weekly survey of a group of experienced traders and technically oriented market analysts with a diverse set of analytical disciplines from Mark's message board at traders-Talk.com. Polling is conducted after the market close on Friday, and the results are normally published late Saturday. You can find more information on Mark Young's sentiment work at WallStreetSentiment.com.

What makes this sentiment survey unique is that the poll is taken after the close on Friday, and those polled are asked only to predict where the market will close as of the end of the following week -- up, down, or neutral (no opinion). In other words, everyone is on the same page, and only short-term projections are solicited.

Something I noticed when posting last weeks poll results was that bearish readings of greater than 65% often preceded price tops by a week or two. Reliability seems to be enhanced if a high percentage of bears occurs during an advance. I think this is unusual because, when sentiment indicators show strong bearish readings, a price advance usually follows.



The most recent reading of 75% bears has occurred during a modest advance, so it is probably a good idea to curb bullish enthusiasm.

Below is a longer-term chart to give you a better idea of the range of these sentiment readings.

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发表于 2010-9-24 04:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
shafa
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发表于 2010-9-24 05:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-9-24 05:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 1# 逍遥山人


   
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发表于 2010-9-24 07:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-9-24 08:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
interesting. thanks
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发表于 2010-9-24 08:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks
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发表于 2010-9-24 09:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks,,,,,,
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发表于 2010-9-25 12:49 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 noname6688 于 2010-9-25 02:50 编辑

thanks.  when sentiment reading >70%, market pull back after one week.
if this is so for Sep 17, seems Monday next week will pull back

bearish sentiment raise when and "before" short-term market top
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发表于 2010-9-25 02:23 AM | 显示全部楼层
谢谢山人
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发表于 2010-9-25 03:30 AM | 显示全部楼层
That is last week result.
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发表于 2010-9-25 08:16 AM | 显示全部楼层
Those people are just like us, too bearish means market is probably going up, or vice-versa
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发表于 2010-9-25 08:16 AM | 显示全部楼层
listen to yourself might be just as good as listen to others.
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发表于 2010-9-25 08:17 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-9-25 12:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-9-25 01:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
Sep.2006, It's still up after this index peak
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发表于 2010-9-25 06:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks
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发表于 2010-9-26 06:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
熊熊都想烧啊。。。。。。
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