60min图上，S&P决定方向好像是迫在眉睫。。。

胡同儿串子

向上，向下？that is the question!

NZX

不急，上下晃上几个小时再说。

胡同儿串子

不急，上下晃上几个小时再说。
NZX 发表于 2010-9-21 12:01

明天怎么得决定下吧，稍微晃下就出去了，呵呵

NZX

追涨杀跌呗。

西安

明天要破位下行了。

Diffusion

纯属瞎猜，我觉得1145还是要去一下的...

胡同儿串子

反正空间不大，看怎么折腾

oldpigwang

回复 1# 胡同儿串子 [/b

Today spx tough new high, but its daily stochastic made a dead cross down, very bearish.
Does this dead cross make sense?

胡同儿串子

回复  胡同儿串子 [/b

Today spx tough new high, but its daily stochastic made a dead cross down, v ...
oldpigwang 发表于 2010-9-21 14:08

going south would be nice, how far do you think it will go?

Diffusion

Today's homework.

First I would like to remove the bars in the green box, as they are pure event-driven speculation. Someone gained a lot, others lost a lot, while the market finally went back to where it was.

The two blue lines shows the potential trajectory of the market if we hadn't have the FOMC announcement. Together with the two long lower wicks (marked by the red arrows), the intersection of the two blue lines reveals a support around 1136, which matches yesterday's consolidation area (marked by the horizontal blue line).  To many coincidences? I'd say 1136 is indeed a strong support.

Conclusion: Bulls has little to worry about and the market is expected to test the previous high, which is either 1145 if we discount the bars in the green box, or 1148 if we discount Fed's capability to make loud noise.

胡同儿串子

回复 10# Diffusion

very nice work, D哥！

ranchgirl

Today's homework.

First I would like to remove the bars in the green box, as they are pure event- ...
Diffusion 发表于 2010-9-21 19:45

very interesting

Poo

Today's homework.

First I would like to remove the bars in the green box, as they are pure event- ...
Diffusion 发表于 2010-9-21 19:45

   

good! but I think you can not totally discard the trades within the greenbox. especially they are with huge volume like today. They are there for some reason, short squeeze, bull trape, changing hand, whatever. the bottom line is some one now holding at this price level (with average higher cost)

anywhere with higher volume transaction, bottom or top especially after such a great run without correction, is worthwhile to noted.

Diffusion

good! but I think you can not totally discard the trades within the greenbox. especial ...
Poo 发表于 2010-9-21 22:59

    Yep, high volume congestion area are of great significance, though my wild guess is that they are already zeroed-out in today's action.

Bears who entered in the blue box got killed along the way to the blue arrow, while bulls who entered in the green box got killed along the way to the green arrow. Net-net there is no bag-holders, the wealth transfer completed already. Only my wild guess.   

Poo

Yep, high volume congestion area are of great significance, though my wild guess is that t ...
Diffusion 发表于 2010-9-21 23:15

are u saying that at this moment, there are no bulls and no bears ?! only lots of piges
different kinds  

Diffusion

are u saying that at this moment, there are no bulls and no bears ?! only lots of piges
differ ...
Poo 发表于 2010-9-21 23:37

    :lol

Poo

Diffusion 发表于 2010-9-21 23:45

oh, ps you asked me early today whether I still holding my shorts.

Yes. till death apart us

ppteam

5 mins: bullish case is break out flag and pull back.
60 mins: channel, I think it's not a wedge. Channel can go a long way; just check USDJPY before Jap intervention.

Diffusion

oh, ps you asked me early today whether I still holding my shorts.

Yes. till death apart us { ...
Poo 发表于 2010-9-21 23:54

    我的put是一夜情，过了一夜就扔了。

ppteam

ES 60 mins is clearly spike and channel.
It's a little tough to decide what the spike is. The bullish MM is to ES 1160.5.