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[技术分析] 08/30/2010 After Bell Quick Summary

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发表于 2010-8-30 02:58 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


The bottom line, the short-term trend is down and I hold no position overnight.

 

One trick for tomorrow, when NYSE Down Volume : NYSE Up Volume >= 9 (Major Distribution Day), 32 out 50 times (64%) a green day the next. Noticed that the trick didn’t work well recently, so be careful.

 

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I searched as far as to year 2000, there wasn’t a case like we have now – A Major Accumulation Day (NYSE Up Volume : NYSE Down Volume >= 9) followed by a Major Distribution Day (NYSE Down Volume : NYSE Up Volume >= 9) back to back. So apparently we’re now in no man’s land. The consequences? Well, I wish I could know. The only thing I’m sure is tomorrow will be a key day as bulls need a green day to avoid a bad sign that worked 8 out of 8 times recently. I’ll talk about this in tonight’s report.

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发表于 2010-8-30 02:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
like I said, MAD/MDD in Aug don't count.
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发表于 2010-8-30 02:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-8-30 02:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
first page
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
Laodoa,

any more edge if adding up or down percentage to MDD and MAD?

Thanks
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
First page,
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
It seems that the statistics for the Labor Day effect in Cobra's report works well today. According to the statistics, we might have a small red day tomorrow ... This is also consistent with the end-of-month statistics in the report.
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks, cobra.
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
unusual uncertainty, and Ben Bernanke is uncertain to QE 2 or not to, and it's certain that his co-workers are divided into two camps.

with this uncertainty, those recently accumulated bad data appear to be heavy and heavier.
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
thx, ding
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 1# Cobra


   
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 1# Cobra


   
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:12 PM | 显示全部楼层

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发表于 2010-8-30 03:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-8-30 03:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
Yep, a ghost town. If you want to be there, I'm sure you will be freaked out.
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