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[技术分析] 06/28/2010 大盘回顾 (Firework?)

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发表于 2010-6-28 04:43 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


  TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart)
Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY    
Intermediate 2 of 3 are BUY 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL Non-Stop Model is in BUY mode
Short-term 2 of 2 are SELL 6 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in BUY mode
GANN DAY MOON/SOLAR CYCLE & TIME FIB CONCLUSION
07/07-07/11 07/11 / 07/07 07/31, 08/20-08/23 Next pivot date: 07/07-07/11
BULLISH 0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield: ROC < –9%, so bottomed?
0.2.2 Extreme Put Call Ratio Watch: all 3 ratios are high, so bottomed?
0.2.5 NYSE Total Volume: Spike high, so bottomed?
BEARISH 0.0.2 Combined Intermediate-term Trading Signals: trend line broken, so topped?
6.3.2b Major Distribution Day Watch: 2 MDD within 5 days means an intermediate-term downtrend?
4.1.0 S&P 500 Large Cap Index (Weekly): bearish engulfing were bearish for the next several weeks.
CONCLUSION  
SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE.
TRADING PLATFORM:
SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU
ST Model   *Buy setup wasn’t confirmed therefore is invalid.
Reversal Bar     *Buy setup wasn’t confirmed therefore is invalid.
NYMO Sell    
Non-Stop(RSP) 06/17 L N/A See 06/17 Market Recap for more details.
OTHER ETFs TREND *DTFMS COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided.
QQQQ UP  
IWM DOWN BUY Ascending Broadening Wedge, downward breakout 73% of the time.
CHINA DOWN
EMERGING UP  
EUROPEAN UP
CANADA UP *SELL
BOND UP *BUY Breakout but ChiOsc is way too high now.
EURO DOWN BUY
GOLD UP BUY 4.3.0 Gold Trust Shares (GLD Weekly): Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $129.99.
GDX UP BUY 4.3.1 Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX Weekly): GDX:$SPX is too high.
OIL UP BUY
ENERGY UP *SELL
FINANCIALS DOWN BUY
REITS UP BUY 4.4.3 Real Estate iShares (IYR Weekly): Pay attention to XHB weakness!
MATERIALS UP *BUY

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.
*DTFMS = Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy. The signal is given when both weekly and daily STO have the same buy/sell signals. Use it as a filter, don’t trade directly.

SEASONALITY: BEARISH MONDAY TO WEDNESDAY, BULLISH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY

See 06/25 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: THIS WEEK NEUTRUAL, NEXT AND NEXT NEXT WEEK ARE BEARISH

See 06/25 Market Recap for more details.

 

SHORT-TERM: DIRECTION UNCLEAR BUT BULLISH CPC READINGS MAY MEAN A FIREWORK AHEAD

 

今天该说的都在After Bell Quick Summary里说了,大盘又跌,但是put call raito很bullish,因此可能要放焰火,只是我不知道这个源自2008年的放焰火setup还灵不灵?其他没说的,短期方向不明,可能是Symmetrical Triangle,因此多半还有一跌,但也有可能是Head and Shoulders Bottom,全看明天market往哪个方向突破。Either way,动作都不会小,所以buckle your belt!

 

SPY15min.png

 

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发表于 2010-6-28 04:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
SF,
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2010-6-28 04:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-6-28 04:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
sf almost. Thanks
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发表于 2010-6-28 04:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-6-28 04:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
super speed!
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发表于 2010-6-28 04:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-6-28 04:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
今天这么早啊,谢谢班长。
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2010-6-28 04:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-6-28 04:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
辛苦了,多谢!
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发表于 2010-6-28 04:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
So early! Thank you very much for your hard work.
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发表于 2010-6-28 04:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-6-28 05:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-6-28 05:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-6-28 05:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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发表于 2010-6-28 05:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
thx, ding
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发表于 2010-6-28 05:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-6-28 05:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
it is an early report. Thanks
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发表于 2010-6-28 05:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
thx!! very early
Laoda,  is the "WOW" situation from yesterday becomes less "WOW" now?
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发表于 2010-6-28 05:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
看了一下,明天泻的可能大一些,班长可别说我砸你场子哈
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