06/22/2010 大盘回顾 （Uptrend Intact）

Cobra

TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart) Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY     Intermediate 2 of 3 are BUY 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL Non-Stop Model is in BUY mode Short-term 1 of 2 are BUY ??? 6 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in BUY mode GANN DAY MOON/SOLAR CYCLE & TIME FIB CONCLUSION 07/07-07/11 06/26 / *07/07 06/24, 07/31, 08/20-08/23 Next pivot date: 06/24?

BULLISH 0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: CPC MA(10) too high. 8.1.1 Normalized NATV/NYTV: Bottomed? *0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield: Bottomed? BEARISH CONCLUSION

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU ST Model   No buy setup triggered yet. See 06/21 Market Recap for more details. Reversal Bar     NYMO Sell     Non-Stop(RSP) 06/17 L N/A See 06/17 Market Recap for more details. OTHER ETFs TREND *DTFMS COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided. QQQQ UP   IWM DOWN   Ascending Broadening Wedge, downward breakout 73% of the time. CHINA DOWN EMERGING UP   EUROPEAN UP   CANADA UP   BOND UP   EURO DOWN   GOLD UP   4.3.0 Gold Trust Shares (GLD Weekly): Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $129.99. GDX UP   4.3.1 Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX Weekly): GDX:$SPX is too high. OIL UP   ENERGY UP   FINANCIALS DOWN   REITS UP   MATERIALS UP

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.
*DTFMS = Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy. The signal is given when both weekly and daily STO have the same buy/sell signals. Use it as a filter, don’t trade directly.

SEASONALITY: WEEK AFTER JUNE TRIPLE WITCHING WAS BEARISH

See 06/18 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: INITIAL REBOUND TARGET AROUND 1150 AND TIME TARGET AROUND 06/24

See 06/14 Market Recap for more details.

 

SHORT-TERM: EXPECT A REBOUND AS EARLY AS TOMORROW

 

今天的After Bell Quick Summary已经提了，今天的下跌破了Double Bottom neckline，因此使牛局面变得复杂了，不过由于daily图上没有形成lower high and lower low，并且table above的trend indicator还都是up，所以officially依然是uptrend的局面。

 

 

还记得06/11 Market Recap: 66% Winning Rate If Buy at the Friday’s Close吧？这是个good call，说明这个on going project还是有点credit的，那么同样的on going project，如果：

1. Short intraday tomorrow.
2. Stop loss above the 06/21 high
3. Set the stop loss to breakeven as soon as the current bar high is below your entry point.

你只有43%的机会，average gain甚至有一点点点点negative，换句话说，就是没有太多的edge。所以again，目前还不能说明很熊。

 

 

关于明天，今天的After Bell Quick Summary找了2个借口，expect green day。下面是第3个借口，sentimentrader的短期model，看红线，好像最近work的还可以，既使是前段时间很熊的时候，因此也是有点credit的。

 

 

0.0.2 Combined Intermediate-term Trading Signals，这个注意一下，3 point validated trend line formed today，因此明天如果CPCE还涨的话，就可能confirm top了，对牛牛不利。

 

 

X中国陆军

X中国陆军

X中国陆军

Dinner time!

cartier

sunnysunny

wangbin

WaveTrender

bench?

H@T

tonyshen

ding

Fan8an

第一页

萧秋水

辛苦了,多谢!

skipjack

Thanks Cobra

navybean

thanks a lot.

t-k

guoke

1st page.
thanks.

nanosensor

Thanks

happyface

thx

littlevivi

慢慢买慢慢买！听老蛇的话慢慢试水

littlevivi

老蛇，论坛任务怎么没有了？我还没到群众股民呢