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[转贴] OMG! 谁能比他更熊?

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发表于 2010-6-17 11:17 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


Elliot Wave predicts triple-digit Dow in 2016

A whole generation of investors think that Robert Prechter and his Elliott Wave Theory letters, Elliott Wave Financial Forecasts and Elliott Wave Theorist, are permabears.

The clearest statement comes from the Elliott Wave Theorist, discussing a numerological technical theory with which it supplements the Wave Theory's complex patterns: "The only way for the developing configuration to satisfy a perfect set of Fibonacci time relationships is for the stock market to fall over the next six years and bottom in 2016."

"Stock market bulls and most economists think that a new bull market and economic recovery are underway. Most bears are looking for either a long sideways bear market à la 1966-1982, or a hyperinflationary run to infinity. Our Elliott Wave outlook opposes both of these scenarios. The most likely profile is a stock market crash of historic proportions."

Elliott Wave Theorist offers several reasons, including: "This bear market is of Supercycle degree, the biggest since 1720-1784. It should therefore include a decline deeper that the 89% decline of 1929-1932. A decline of 91.5% or more would carry it below 1,000."

There will be a short-term rally at some point, thinks Prechter, but it will be a trap: "The 7.25-year and 20-year cycles are both scheduled to top in 2012, suggesting that 2012 will mark the last vestiges of self-destructive hope. Then the final years of decline will usher in capitulation and finally despair."
发表于 2010-6-17 11:38 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2010-6-17 03:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
不知道这哥们咋活下来的
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2010-6-18 03:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
if USA cancels all debt bonds and there World War III goes.
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2010-6-18 03:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 Tesla 于 2010-6-18 17:35 编辑
不知道这哥们咋活下来的
AGA7d 发表于 2010-6-17 17:51


简单啊,收费博客啊。

每个月收的钱,留点生活费,剩下的买OTM Leap Put。如果买Leap Call,那就太坏了,希望不是这样。

很多人不是有样学样吗。
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2010-6-18 07:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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