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[放炮] 下周,上证指数(999999),2430点

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发表于 2010-5-20 01:47 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


下周,上证指数(999999),2430点,触及中期调整阶段性底部,
市场传说中的中期反弹即将开始,可以进场做多。
此前的任何一次反弹都是昙花一现,而这次将有些持续性,属于有操作价值的中期反弹。
请注意,反弹,而不是反转。
底下是底,不可过于恋战。
个人关注,房地产板块。

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发表于 2010-5-20 08:16 AM | 显示全部楼层
Any reason behind 2430? thanks.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-5-20 08:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
Any reason behind 2430? thanks.
egghead1 发表于 2010-5-20 10:16


没事干,随便扯扯淡呗。呵呵。。。
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-5-24 03:57 AM | 显示全部楼层
A股六月多震荡,小熊可以收手观望。
多头以小波段为主,大牛目前仍然应该持币观望。
我继续观望2430点的到来。
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-5-25 12:53 AM | 显示全部楼层
随着本周前两日的反弹,A股阶段性低点相应推后至下周末端。
小牛继续耐心等待。小熊收手观望策略不变。
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发表于 2010-5-25 07:02 AM | 显示全部楼层
支持评论A股
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-2 08:56 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 爱在雨中 于 2010-6-2 12:31 编辑

短线反弹不断,阻止了有效反弹尽快来临。
空头仍然占据优势,小熊收手观望策略不变。
多头不宜盲目乐观,小牛继续耐心等待。
熊市不言底,不做不错,持币观望是稳妥的态度。
观望时间点再次推迟至端午假期之后的三个交易日内(20100614-16为端午连续三天长假)。
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发表于 2010-6-2 09:35 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-6-2 11:51 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 7# 爱在雨中

Really? I thought it looked like a double bottom today.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-2 12:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复  爱在雨中

Really? I thought it looked like a double bottom today.
egghead1 发表于 2010-6-2 13:51


你是靠“看起来像”来进行判断和操作的吗?
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发表于 2010-6-2 02:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 10# 爱在雨中

Isn't it what TA does?    You look at charts and make decisions. On the daily chart, it looks like a buy after testing the 5/21 low.
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发表于 2010-6-2 09:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 1# 爱在雨中


   
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发表于 2010-6-2 09:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
短期的底应该已经到了,最起码有两三周的反弹..
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-3 02:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复  爱在雨中

Isn't it what TA does?    You look at charts and make decisions. On t ...
egghead1 发表于 2010-6-2 16:49


好啊,那就尽快买入吧。。。呵呵。。。
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-11 09:58 AM | 显示全部楼层
随着市场的短期震荡,对A股建仓的观望时间点再次被推迟至2010年6月30日至7月1日。
同时,关注的位置也相应有所降低,目前暂不报观望区域。
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发表于 2010-6-11 11:59 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 1# 爱在雨中

市场等着准备金上升。
下面这篇文章告诉你中国股市为什麽懒洋洋毫无买气。中国银行融资就是拿你被套牢的钱去补他的坏账。我的感觉,前车之鉴:跌到2008年11月那次的先例,
我这里讲的不是2008,11月那个点数,而是下跌不回头的那个方式。到下半年,经济缓慢幅度会告诉你点数,以后经济继续缓慢,会有新的预报点数。


China May inflation rises, industrial growth slows
China's May inflation rises amid signs rapid rebound from global downturn is slowing
Friday, June 11, 2010. (AP Photo/Andy Wong, File)
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FILE - In this May 14, 2010 file photo, a woman loads beverages on her tri-cycle cart outside a store in Beijing. China's inflation rose in May amid signs its rebound from the global slump is slowing, adding to pressure on Beijing to keep growth on track and control politically sensitive prices. Consumer prices rose 3.1 percent from a year earlier, up from April's 2.8 percent rate,
the National Bureau of Statistics said Friday, June 11, 2010. (AP Photo/Andy Wong, File)

Joe Mcdonald, AP Business Writer, On Friday June 11, 2010, 3:20 am EDT
BEIJING (AP) -- China's inflation rose in May amid signs its rebound from the global slump is slowing, adding to pressure on Beijing to keep growth on track and control politically sensitive prices.
Consumer prices rose 3.1 percent from a year earlier, up from April's 2.8 percent rate, the National Bureau of Statistics said Friday. Growth in investment and factory output slowed but still was at double-digit levels.
Rising inflation has prompted concern Beijing might hike interest rates or take other steps to cool growth that hit 11.9 percent in the first quarter. That could affect the United States, Europe and others that look to China, the world's No. 3 economy, to help drive demand for their iron ore, factory machinery and other exports.
A statistics bureau spokesman rejected suggestions China might face "stagflation" -- a damaging mix of rising prices and slowing growth. He said inflation pressure was easing and the communist government can hit its target of holding full-year inflation to 3 percent.
"There is no problem of stagnation," said the spokesman, Sheng Laiyun, at a news conference. He said the economy's "three driving forces" -- trade, investment and consumer spending -- "are still rising."
Analysts expect China's rapid expansion to slow as the initial impact of its 4 trillion yuan ($586 billion) stimulus wanes. The World Bank's forecast for full-year growth is 9.5 percent.
Slower growth could complicate efforts to control prices because the standard tool of rate hikes might further chill economic activity.
"In the second half of the year, growth is going to be slightly disappointing, inflation is going to be slightly too high," said Tom Orlik, an analyst in Beijing for Stone & McCarthy Research Associates. "That clearly puts the Chinese government in a policy quandary."
May exports surged by nearly 50 percent over a year earlier but analysts expect trade to weaken as Europe's debt crisis cuts demand in the 27-nation European Union, China's biggest trading partner.
May inflation was driven by a 6.1 percent rise in food costs, a sensitive issue in a country where some families spend half their incomes on food. Wholesale inflation accelerated to 7.1 percent from April's 6.8 percent rate, suggesting shoppers might face higher prices as retailers pass on rising costs.
May growth in investment in factories and other fixed assets -- seen as an indicator of future growth -- slipped from April's 26.1 percent expansion to 25.9 percent, the statistics bureau reported. Growth in industrial output declined for a third month, falling to 16.5 percent from the previous month's 18.8 percent expansion.
Investment growth has been dampened by government curbs aimed at cooling a credit boom and surging housing costs. Regulators also want to block overspending on industries such as steel in which production capacity already exceeds demand.
Total lending by Chinese banks in May shrank by 17 percent from April's level to 639.4 billion yuan, ($93.6 billion), the central bank reported.
Financial markets have been rattled by concerns the government might further tighten access to credit. China's main stock index has shed 4 percent since May 25.
Two monthly surveys of industrial activity released earlier showed Chinese manufacturing growth slowing in May on sluggish new orders.
In a positive sign, growth in retail sales accelerated slightly in May to 18.7 percent from April's 18.5 percent rate.
Associated Press researcher Bonnie Cao contributed to this report.
Online:
http://www.stats.gov.cn
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-11 01:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复  爱在雨中

市场等着准备金上升。
下面这篇文章告诉你中国股市为什麽懒洋洋毫无买气。中国银行融资 ...
oldpigwang 发表于 2010-6-11 13:59


这种垃圾文章,呵呵,谁会真的去相信所谓的喉舌呢?
况且我有个人的分析,在此不做过多描述了。
我只说一句:中国的各银行的融资行为,不是为了所谓的弥补,那是诋毁名誉和诱导民声的做法,无耻!!!

分析人人会做,操作才是真正有效的。Ok, let's see 。。。
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发表于 2010-6-11 02:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 17# 爱在雨中
有胆量,待你丢了钱来这里向大家汇报吧。敢骂脏话算什麽哪?????
把你的分析贴出来。怕什麽?
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-11 02:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复  爱在雨中
有胆量,待你丢了钱来这里向大家汇报吧。敢骂脏话算什麽哪?????
把你的分析贴出来。 ...
oldpigwang 发表于 2010-6-11 16:13


胆量从来不是分析和操作的理由。我不是有胆量,也不是没胆量。
我从2009年年底就空仓了,到现在仍然是空仓,呵呵,一直在观望。
我并没有辱骂你的意思,我是针对那些新闻,而且我不认为我的字句是“骂脏话”,对不起,让你误解了,请原谅。
我很少把TA的分析拿出来跟别人讨论,没什么意义。
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发表于 2010-6-12 02:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
胆量从来不是分析和操作的理由。我不是有胆量,也不是没胆量。
我从2009年年底就空仓了,到现在仍然是 ...
爱在雨中 发表于 2010-6-11 16:21



    你不是空了黄金了吗?原来都是还没有仓位。PAPER TRADE而已。。。不过我做PAPER TRADE资金翻了10倍,有什么用呢,
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