03/23/2010 大盘回顾 （All Up Day!）

Cobra

TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart) Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY     Intermediate 3 of 3 are BUY 4 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in BUY mode Short-term 1 of 1 are BUY 5 of 6 are NEUTRAL

ATTENTION 2.4.4 NYSE McClellan Oscillator: Negative divergence. BULLISH 1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min): Head and Shoulders Bottom, target 119.42. BEARISH 1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min): 15 unfilled gaps. (max was 16) 1.1.0 Nasdaq Composite (Daily): 9 unfilled gaps. (max was 10) 0.0.9 Extreme Put Call Ratio Watch: Top signal triggered. CPCE MA(5) too low. 0.0.3 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: CPCE MA(10) too low. 4.0.4 Dow Theory: Averages Must Confirm: NYHILO too high. 03/17 Market Recap: Dumb money confidence too high. 03/17 Market Recap: Too many bearish extremes among all sentimentrader indicators. 2.3.4 Nasdaq Total Volume/NYSE Total Volume: A little too high. 6.2.3 VIX:VXV Trading Signals: VIX to VXV ratio is way too low. CONCLUSION Bearish signals are accumulated enough to justify a short sell. for aggressive traders only. 03/19, Bearish Engulfing, could be another short sell chances, good luck bears!

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING VEHICLE: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU ST Model 02/26 L *03/11 low *Adjust stop loss. Reversal Bar   NYMO Sell     VIX MA ENV     OTHER ETFs MID TERM SHORT TERM COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided. QQQQ UP UP IWM UP UP CHINA DOWN ? EMERGING ? UP CANADA UP UP 4.1.5 iShares CDN S&P/TSX 60 Index Fund (XIU.TO Weekly): 2 Doji under important resistance. Lots of negative divergence plus BPTSX is overbought which had led to a 2 weeks pullbacks in the past. FINANCIALS UP UP REITS UP ? MATERIALS ? UP OIL & ENERGY ? UP GOLD & GDX DOWN ? DOLLAR UP ? Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $24.28. BOND DOWN ? Could pullback soon as it hits resistance.

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.

SEASONALITY: WEEK AFTER TRIPLE WITCHING, DOW DOWN 15 OF LAST 22, ALSO MARCH IS KNOWN AS A TURNING MONTH

See 03/19 Market Recap for more details.

 

CYCLE ANALYSIS: COULD RISE TO AROUND 03/25 BEFORE ANY MEANINGFUL PULLBACK

See 03/22 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: EXPECT ROLLER COASTER AHEAD

See 03/19 Market Recap for more details.

 

SHORT-TERM: ALL UP DAY MEANS A DOWN DAY TOMORROW, I’M NOT CONVINCED THOUGH

 

今天没啥说的，After Bell Quick Summary里已经说了，明天有77%的机会涨，不过根据6.4.9 All Up Day Watch，由于今天是个All Up Day，看红线，好像第二天都跌了。我个人对All Up Day第二天跌的说法有所保留，关于这方面的讨论见11/17/2009 Market Recap。别的没啥了，现在我最关心的是今天大涨以后，Rydex trader以及institutions是如何反映的，这两个最新数据要到明天早上才知道，有重大发现的话，我会另外发文通知。

 

 

STOCK SCREENER:  For fun only, I may not actually trade the screeners. Since SPY ST Model is in BUY mode, only LONG candidates are listed. For back test details as well as how to confirm the entry and set stop loss please read HERE. Please make sure you understand the basic risk management HERE.

 

Looks like it’s too late to long stocks now as the market is way too overbought. Waiting for a better chance.

X中国陆军

Cool

胡同儿串子

sf, hahaha

萧秋水

哈哈哈,以为是沙发,结果是板凳

胡同儿串子

回复 2# X中国陆军

真快啊，呵呵

X中国陆军

rdonly

Thanks

happyface

都想坐沙发.
谢谢老蛇.

RedCedar

1st page. Thanks Cobra!

blueukc

thanks dude

RedCedar

We may test yesterday's low tomorrow.

superxy

牛成这个样子了，都没材料写了，呵呵。
是不是大牛市开始的时候，TA indicator都不太怎么灵？

ranchgirl

huge thanks!

waterwater

schmd2000

man_student

Thanks,

epsom

Thanks a lot

xsngli

ding

t-k

sooners

回复 1# Cobra


       thanks