02/23/2010 After Bell Quick Summary

Cobra

The trick today is: I DIDN’T SEE ANY –1,000 TICK. This is rare for a 1% down day like today. The last time this happened was on 01/12/2010, 01/09/2009 and 05/11/2009. My conclusion at those time was no panic so there’s more on the downside, and indeed, there’s more. I don’t know if the same conclusion applies now as you may argue there’re just too few cases. Well, the chart below may worth your attention: You don’t believe never will you see a –1,000 TICK ever, do you? So the bottom line, I believe there’s another shoe to drop sooner or later, no matter a green day tomorrow or not.

 

nctree

sofa

ppteam

do you mean buy puts once market bounces?

nctree

ban deng

nctree

floor.

donkeygirl

thanks

xiaoxiaozhang

sandera

The trick today is: I DIDN’T SEE ANY –1,000 TICK. ................So the bottom line, I believe there’s another shoe to drop sooner or later, no matter a green day tomorrow or not.
Cobra 发表于 2010-2-23 16:34

abaqus

hifive

At least if the market open high tomorrow, it will pull back to fill the gap.

oda

thanks laoda

whzdf

awang

Thanks. Always add some historic data to draw conclusion based on probability. That is great.

slcgh

happylux

Sold QLD AH @55.33.  

baker

thanks a lot

IMeMyself

first page

ranchgirl

源济

summer123