01/25/2010 大盘回顾 （Bullish Harami?）

Cobra

TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart) Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY     Intermediate 2 of 3 are SELL 4 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in buy mode Short-term 1 of 1 are SELL 6 of 8 are NEUTRAL

BULLISH 6.2.0a VIX Trading Signals (ENV): Potential buy signal to be triggered. BEARISH 1.2.0 INDU Leads Market: INDU breakdown below strong support area, suspect SPX might follow. 01/22 Market Recap: Climax Buying spiked again. CONCLUSION

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING VEHICLE: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU ST Model *Long if up day tomorrow. No confidence in this trade. Reversal Bar     *Long if up day tomorrow. No confidence in this trade. NYMO Sell 01/21 S Breakeven Sorry, forgot to mention this setup on 01/20. VIX MA ENV     *Long if VIX falls into it’s MA Envelope and SPY close > open.

OTHER ETFs COMMENT – *New update, they may not be mentioned in the report. Click links to see more details. IWM & QQQQ 8.2.9a QQQQ – 2009  - 8.2.9h QQQQ – 2002: Seasonality is bearish until the end of January. EMERGING CANADA TSX 1.5.0 iShares CDN S&P/TSX 60 Index Fund (XIU.TO Daily): Double Top, target $15.77. FINANCIALS REITS MATERIALS   OIL & ENERGY 3.4.0 United States Oil Fund, LP (USO Daily): Very oversold, could rebound soon. GOLD 3.3.0 streetTRACKS Gold Trust Shares (GLD Daily): On multiple support, could rebound soon. DOLLAR 3.1.0 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP Daily): Could be H&S Bottom in the forming. BOND 3.0.0 10Y T-Bill Yield: Could be a Bull Flag. So yield could rise while bond should fall.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: THE CORRECTION TARGET FOR INDU COULD BE AROUND 9727

 

No update. According to chart 4.0.4 Dow Theory: Averages Must Confirm, the correction target could be around 9727.

 

SHORT-TERM: BULLISH HARAMI FORMED NEED AN UP DAY TOMORROW TO CONFIRM BOTTOM

 

0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals，整了个Bullish Harami，明天涨的话，就算确认short-term bottom了。见上面table中的SPY Setup，明天涨，会触发两个buy setup。再下面的图是Reversal Bar setup的最新back test结果，成功率还是挺高的。不过，俺比较倾向于今天的After Bell Quick Summary的statistics，the rest of the week会比较weak，既使涨，也涨幅有限，因此be careful buying this dip。

 

 

 

下面的图对牛牛也有利，前三次VIX bar body completely out of BB，都是bottom。Let’s see what about this time。

 

 

INTERESTING CHARTS: NONE

 

abaqus

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源济

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赌：$SPX涨跌，周二 1/26/2010

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赌：$SPX涨跌，周二 1/26/2010

aihutong

DING!!

impresario100

xnz

thanks

kira

Thanks a lot!

cboom

thanks.

phoenix

Thanks!

aveda

Thanks

Alchemist

不怕被套怕枕套

yuliang

but today's rebounce is kind of weak.

trender

thanks

michaelzhang