01/07/2009 大盘回顾 （QQQQ Black Bar?）

Cobra

TREND MOMENTUM COMMENT – Click links to see chart or visit my public chart list. Long-term Up     Intermediate Up Neutral 3.0.0 TNX: Top in a month? 8.1.0 Normalized NYTV: Topped? 12/31 Recap: Climax Buying spiked, could be Topped. 12/31 Recap: II and AAII survey both show extremely low number of bears. Short-term Up Neutral 1.0.2 SPY: 15 unfilled gaps. 01/04 Recap: Too many bearish extremes. 0.0.3 SPX: CPC MA10 is too low. 0.0.1 Top/Bottom Watch: NYDNV is too low.  0.0.5 QQQQ: *Black bar, so more pullback? (not sure)

CONCLUSION & TRADE Signals presented in the short-term comment area are enough to justify a short selling. Waiting for a Bearish Reversal Bar to short.

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE INSTRUCTION STOP LOSS Mechanic trading signals, details are HERE.  Take profit whenever you see appropriate. ST Model 12/21 L  *Adjust stop loss *12/31 Low Reversal Bar     NYMO Sell     VIX ENV

WATCH LIST COMMENT – *New update, they may not be mentioned in the report. Click links to see more details. RUSSELL 2000 4.1.2 Russell 2000 iShares (IWM Weekly) : Bearish reversal bar plus multi-resistances. EMERGING 1.4.1 iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM Daily): Breakout, not very convincing though. 1.4.0 Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (Daily): *Big red bar means more downside ahead. FINANCIALS 3.5.0 Financials Select Sector SPDR (XLF Daily): Confirmed breakout of a Roof formation. REITS 3.6.0 Real Estate iShares (IYR Daily): On multiple support, could rebound.  3.6.1 Real Estate iShares (IYR 30 min): *Bullish 1-2-3 formation breakout, target 47.09. OIL & ENERGY 3.4.1 United States Oil Fund, LP (USO 30 min): Could be a Bearish Rising Wedge in the forming.  GOLD DOLLAR 3.1.0 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP Daily): Double hollow red bar, could rebound. BOND

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: NO UPDATE

 

Nothing new, the SPX now right under it’s long term trend line resistance.

 

 

SHORT-TERM: QQQQ BLACK BAR?

 

没新鲜的，short-term bearish signs 没有多少改善（见上面的表格），今天0.0.5 QQQQ Short-term Trading Signals，还出了黑棒棒，介意味着，1. 明天低开（但不一定收红），2. 离short-term top不远了。不过，俺不sure，介个黑棒棒算不算数。

 

 

下面是关于明天Non Farm Payrolls Reports（Courtesy of www.bespokepremium.com）的统计，明天generally比较bullish。不过，早上跳空高开的话，根据1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)，那将是SPY的第16个空，加上统计上讲，Non Farm Payrolls Day的gap，经常会被fade，因此，看见高开，最好别追。

 

 

1.4.0 Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (Daily)，天朝的大红棒棒意味着more downside，不知道介次还灵不灵哈。

 

 

INTERESTING CHARTS: NONE

 

terranmn

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Ding!

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黑云压城城欲摧，山雨欲来风满楼。

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Yeahhhhh,  bears come back!

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嘿嘿，老蛇的Weekly Chart，枪口抬高了一吋。

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熊的

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Thanks