Newsweek: 10 Predictions for 2010
1. The Afghan Surge Works
2. China Will Crash
3. Another Coup in Pakistan
4. Chávez Faces Another Coup
5. A Backlash Against European Racism
6. Iran Hit With Sanctions
7. Brazil Is the New China
8. A Pyrrhic Victory for the Tories
9. Europe Faces New Financial Crisis
10.Castro Dies, U.S. Relations Improve 换算成道琼斯指数应该是:
1. Obama 阿富汗增兵计划奏效,利好,Dow+500
2. 中国玩儿完是美国人心底最期望的,但对股市利空,Dow会跌70%,然后华尔街所有的大佬都会站出来说,这是短期利空长期利好,股市急剧反弹,最后Dow-2500。(那时国务卿希拉里会说的第二个中国成语是落井下石。)
3. 巴基斯坦政局失控,利空,Dow-200
4. 查韦斯下台,利好但对美国股市影响不大,Dow+50
5. 欧洲种族骚乱,利空但不会影响股市,Dow-20
6. 制裁伊朗,支持反对派,国际油价波动推高能源股,Dow+200
7. 巴西没有共产党就有了新中国,Dow+150
8. 美国忠实盟友英国经济持续衰退,利空,Dow-100
9. 欧洲新一轮金融危机,利空,Dow-1000
10.卡斯特罗逝世,古巴50年后从新回到美国的怀抱,利好,Dow+500
Newsweek:Business Predictions for 2010
1. The Auto Industry Revives
2. The Dow Sees 12,000
3. The Fed Raises Rates
4. AIG Will Be Downsized
5. Cap and Trade Won't Pass (But It Won't Matter)
6. Derivatives Remain Largely Opaque
7. Unemployment Drops Below 9 Percent
8. Boeing Will Soar
9.Comcast Will Fire Jeff Zucker
10.The New York Times Charges for Web Content