12/01/2009 大盘回顾 （Bullish Broadening Top?）

Cobra

Summary:

Could be a Bullish Broadening Tops is in the forming.

A little bearish biased toward tomorrow.

	TREND	MOMENTUM	EMOTION	COMMENT - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Up		Disbelieve
Intermediate	Down	Neutral
Short-term	*Up	Neutral
SPY SETUP	ENTRY DATE	INSTRUCTION	STOP LOSS	Mechanic trading signals for reference only. Back tested since 2002.
ST Model	11/30 L	*Adjust Stop Loss	*Breakeven
Reversal Bar	11/30 L	*Adjust Stop Loss	*Breakeven
NYMO Sell	11/24 S			*Stoped out short position flat.
VIX ENV
Patterns ect.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: BUILDING A TOP

 

维持building a top的forecast。详见11/27/2009 Market Recap。不过也有可能maket在形成Broadening Top的pattern，Dubai事件算是partial decline，因此有72%的机会最终会向上突破。介个pattern在COMPQ的图上看的最清楚，见下图。Personally，Broadening Top最后向上突破的可能是有的，不过俺不太相信target。

 

 

SHORT-TERM: COULD PULLBACK AT LEAST TOMORROW MORNING

 

明天没有solid evidences，只是看起来熊熊稍微占优，所以至少早盘有pullback的可能。

 

3.1.0 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP Daily)，空心红棒棒有反转向上的可能。3.1.2 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP 30 min)，Bullish Falling Wedge plus lots of positive divergence。因此看起来米金明天有反弹的机会，介对大盘不利。

 

3.4.1 United States Oil Fund, LP (USO Daily)，黑棒棒可能意味着油要pullback，介也对大盘不利。

 

INTERESTING CHARTS:

 

介个通知一下：2.8.0 SPX:CPCE，trend line not held，所以昨天说的top信号无效了。

happyface

shafa

LLN

happyface

果然是,吼吼.

lilianc

usamonkey

thanks

ranchgirl

basement？

kembangansg

slcgh

thanks, LAODA.

yam

yeah

yaobooyao

Broaden top Pattern 的Target 有点儿吓人， 不过市场疯狂了啥事都干的出来。

xsngli

thanks

busywind

Xiexie

fead

thanks!

michaelzhang

thx!!!

Alchemist

soulvirus

PacificLegend

trender

stockgirl