大低开，跌出昨天的range，因此介个空可能不会补，今天可能是个down trend day。来段statistics，据说今天的空会补，俺不信，介是第三次低开了，还指望拉起？不过，分析归分析，咱还得看price action，老规矩，10:30以后有新低，很高几率，今天会是个strong down trend day。
Since the July low, there have been 7 opening gaps of -0.75% or more in the S&P 500, and all but one saw the index close higher than the open, so lately these larger gaps have resulted in quick rebounds.
Historically, there have also been 7 gaps of this size when the S&P closed the previous day at a 52-week high (it didn't do that yesterday, but missed by only 0.5 points). All but one of those 7 cases closed higher than the opening price, returning an average of +0.6%.
However, 6 of those 7 instances also coincided with short-term market peaks. Buying the equivalent of today's close and holding for a week resulted in negative returns each time but once, with an average drawdown (i.e. maximum loss) of -3.4% compared to an average maximum gain of only +1.2%.
Anyway，如图，如果breakdown below 1100，那1-2-3 formation成立，SPX e-min futures理论target 1090。 | 
狗仔卡
发表于 2009-11-19 09:03 AM
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发表于 2009-11-19 09:03 AM
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Thank you, cobra!
