10/19/2009 大盘回顾 （No Title）

Cobra

Summary:

Pay attention to resistances not far away.

Pay attention to negative divergences.

	TREND	MOMENTUM	EMOTION	COMMENT - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Up		Disbelieve
Intermediate	Up	Neutral	No argue	NYSI not confirming the up trend.
Short-term	Up	Neutral	Yes!
SPY SETUP	ENTRY DATE	INSTRUCTION	STOP LOSS	Mechanic trading signals for reference only. Back tested since 2002.
ST Model	10/14 L		10/06 Low
Reversal Bar	10/05 L	*Adjust stop loss	*10/16 Low
VIX ENV	10/06 L		10/16 Low
NYMO Sell		Must be a red day next day to confirm the sell signal		Winning Rate: 59%, Gain/Loss Ratio: 4.9 Very risky trade but occasionally may catch the exact market top.   *Sell signal not confirmed today.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: PAY ATTENTION TO RESISTANCES

 

维持1.0.8 SPX Cycle Watch (Weekly)标示的target。要注意的是SPX离trend line以及Fib 50 target 1121不远了。

 

1.1.2 PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQQ Weekly)，盘后由于AAPL的ER，QQQQ trade在43.55左右，正好hit resistance，明天能否继续上攻，值得注意。

 

熊熊的希望在2.4.4 NYSE McClellan Oscillator，so far离zero line不远，negative divergence很明显，介是上涨动力不足的表现。不过，实在忍不住要short的，至少要等一个reversal day再行动，像今天介种几乎光头光脚的棒棒，很少可能是top的。

 

SHORT-TERM: PAY ATTENTION TO NEGATIVE DIVERGENCES

 

没啥说的，有几个negative sign，不说明明天会跌，但是明天的上涨也不是sure thing。

 

1.0.4 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 15 min)，negative divergence太多了，除非明天大涨，否则短期内还是可能要pullback的。

 

1.0.9 SPX Cycle Watch (60 min)，今天是个cycle due date，因此也不能排除明天反转的可能。

 

3.1.2 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP 30 min)，positive divergence很多，米金随时都有反弹的可能，介个也支持pullback。

 

INTERESTING CHARTS: NONE

 

ut1984

THANKS

abaqus

frist page!

happyface

谢谢老蛇每天辛苦地工作.

dlaodou

thanks

reks

Thanks Laoda..

Positive_Theta

Always looking forward to the updates!!

wnd4

thanks

happylux

米金不反弹，坚决不short。

exg

ding

Alchemist

stockgirl

  First page!

块块

1st page

rosyrosy

1st page

sds

美金反转还差把火。

vivian7899

Cobra

美金反转还差把火。
sds 发表于 2009-10-19 22:04

Agree，等金子先跌。

soulvirus

oldfox

daxiong

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