10/07/2009 大盘回顾 （The SPY's 12th Unfilled Gap?）

Cobra

Summary:

Could be an Ascending Triangle in the forming, target is the 9/29 high.

	TREND	MOMENTUM		COMMENT - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Up
Intermediate	Down	Neutral
Short-term	up	Neutral
SETUP	DATE	INSTRUCTION	STOP LOSS	Mechanic trading signals for reference only. Back tested since 2002.
Index ST Model I				Stopped out long with gain on 10/01. No position held now.
Index ST Model II			10/06 High	Short position initiated on 09/30.
VIX ENV	10/07	*Move stop loss	10/06 Low	Long position initiated on 10/06.
Reversal Bar	10/07	*Move stop loss	10/06 Low	Long position initiated on 10/05.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: MAINTIAN THE CONSOLIDATION THEN PULLBACK FORECAST

 

1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)，盘后的大涨，plus可能的Ascending Triangle，以及1.0.4 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 15 min)上的Cup with Handle pattern，看起来market还是要往上猛涨的样子。俺是很难想象SPY会有第12个unfilled gap，but anyway，no argue，下一个long信号可能会出自Index Swing Model I - buy on breakout of the 9/23 high。The bottom line，暂时维持昨天的判断，由于CPCE很低：所以大盘会盘整后pullback。明天应该是key day，如果大盘不能hold gap而形成reversal day的话，那介个forcast成功的可能性就很大了，否则的话，熊熊就比较不好玩了。

 

SHORT-TERM: NO UPDATE

 

INTERESTING CHARTS: NONE

 

abaqus

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abaqus

2# abaqus


#1 again!

牛熊

第一页!

skipjack

thanks

eaglefly

first?!
........

eaglefly

wa!

牛熊

frank

  DING!!!!!!

littlehua

ding, cobra lao da!

happyface

thanks Cobra.

Aeiou

ding

like2swing

thanks a lot

X中国陆军

MtlJaysFan

Thanks Cobra

我是谁

Your cup and dandle broke out up-side now.  I am hoping tomorrow jobless data is really really really bad....  or i will dissappear...

wxp

dara

agree, tomorrow is pretty important for the short term

SAR

slcgh

thanks. 蛇老大。