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[新闻] 重要通知:C等盘末巨量是S&P Reblance操作所致

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发表于 2009-9-18 08:57 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


本帖最后由 yaobooyao 于 2009-9-18 22:51 编辑

最新Update:

C 等股票 最后30min到收盘后15min 的巨量交易行为,是由于今天盘末的Quarterly S&P Rebalance 操作所致。


今天除了9月OE, 还有S&P 500 ETF  Q2 Dividend,  Quarterly S&P Reblance 将在盘末进行,受调整影响的股票将有巨量的买卖交易。

除了C以外,其它Q2 (7~9月)时间段内被调整进、出S&P 500 的股票、以及流通股权重有变化的股票等都会受reblance 操作的影响。

这里是WSJ 上的News:

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20090918-709537.html?mod=wsjcrmain

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Just before Friday's close, fund managers benchmarked against the S&P 500 index are expected to shuffle around some $5.84 billion in shares ahead of the major index's quarterly rebalancing.

The changes come as Standard & Poor's undergoes its quarterly adjustment to its major indexes to better reflect the number of shares outstanding for each of its stocks. The rebalancing - to take effect after Friday's close - will also readjust investment weight factors, which account for how much of a company's stock is readily available to the market.

That means Friday's closing trade is likely to see a lot of volume. Sectors expected to see larger impacts include financials and consumer staples, which will likely see a lot of buying, and energy and health-care, which could see a good deal of selling. Among individual stocks, Citigroup Inc. (C) is expected to be particularly hot.

"The target for all the fund managers is tonight's close," said Charles Behette, director in ITG???s U.S. portfolio trading group. "If I want to be exactly like the index in a perfect world, I would buy or sell the exact number of shares I need proportionately for my portfolio right on the close."

A good deal of trading related to the rebalancing does occur ahead of Friday's final trades, too, even among investors not connected with funds or without any need to maintain certain benchmarks. These investors try to buy or short stocks ahead of the trades funds are expected to make at Friday's close.

The rebalancing is likely to result in a turnover of 0.62% on the S&P 500, according to ITG. About $909.2 million in consumer staples shares are expected to be bought, and $859.4 million in financials will be purchased as a result of the rebalancing, the firm estimates. ITG forecasts sales of $651.3 million in energy shares and $517.6 million in health-care stocks.

Citigroup is expected to see the most number of shares bought as a result of the rebalancing, while Yahoo Inc. (YHOO) is expected to see the most sold. For a $1 billion portfolio benchmarked against the S&P 500, ITG estimates 174,934 shares of Citigroup would need to be purchased, while 21,981 shares of Yahoo would need to be sold, according to ITG.

In recent trading, however, Citigroup shares were down 1.4%. Yahoo shares, meanwhile, slid 1.5%.

David Blitzer, chairman of the S&P 500, said the impact to Citigroup reflects not only the doubling of its shares outstanding due to the conversion of its preferred shares into common shares, but also that a large chunk of its shares are now unavailable to the market due to the government's stake. Its investment weight factor is being reduced from 100% to 57%.

If the investment weight factor went down to 50%, it would have offset the doubling of Citigroup's shares outstanding. But because it went down to 57%, "there is a modest net buy, so the index funds will go out and buy additional shares," Blitzer said.

-By Donna Kardos Yesalavich, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2188; donna.yesalavich@dowjones.com
发表于 2009-9-18 10:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
又瞎掰
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发表于 2009-9-18 10:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-9-18 10:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 yaobooyao 于 2009-9-18 23:28 编辑
又瞎掰
mantis 发表于 2009-9-18 23:23


信不信由你。

我看到了新闻,顺便广播一下。

而且,CNBC Closing Bell 里 Bob Pisani  当时顺便提了一句,但是没仔细跟。
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-9-18 10:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
特此声明:以上分析不代表本人观点。我只是广而告之。

Mantis 同学说我“又瞎掰”。。。。
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发表于 2009-9-18 10:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-9-18 11:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
我是说他们瞎掰, 不是你。
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-9-18 11:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
我是说他们瞎掰, 不是你。
mantis 发表于 2009-9-19 00:09


没问题,我开玩笑。

不过,今天的S&P Reblance  是真有其事,但是作者对C、YHOO 等的买卖行情、股价变化判断确仅仅是理论化而已。

不管怎样,这解释今天最后2分钟 C的天量成交单是从何而来,我今天看到了,当时有点傻了。

我怀疑最近以来,政府是不是已经开始悄悄地卸船了。
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发表于 2009-9-18 11:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
In the last second before close, over 200million C shares were clearly sold, rather than purchased!
They are 瞎掰!
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发表于 2009-9-19 12:51 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-9-19 02:15 AM | 显示全部楼层
haha
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发表于 2009-9-19 11:01 AM | 显示全部楼层
MCD had jump to 57 dollar in last two mins due to huge volume , i guess buy in, ~ 6M
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发表于 2009-9-19 11:28 AM | 显示全部楼层
8# yaobooyao

Agree with the last point.
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发表于 2009-9-19 12:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
13# gp_surfer
C_lastminSell.JPG

Well, let pic say it!
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-9-19 01:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
13# gp_surfer
25048

Well, let pic say it!
win4Q 发表于 2009-9-19 13:33


This is really cool.  

That 200M share sell nailed on the chart!

Thank you.
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发表于 2009-9-20 05:27 AM | 显示全部楼层
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