06/03/2009 白天灌水

Cobra

昨天忘了，没有意识到是一个非常重要的阻力，这个是不应该的。今天看pre-market的样子，还是空太小，不排除开盘就补的可能。



15 min上可以看得很清楚，在阻力位下盘整。

mikeqc

safa

mikeqc

today is early

mikeqc

floor

mikeqc

leave the first page for others

dommy

顶

oldfox

Nancy168

Thanks.

Simpletrader

bull?

dara

ychen222

酷马提醒说从历史交易量上说，向上阻力小。从图上也能看出来。

Cobra

Given that we've rallied for four straight days into a new multi-month yesterday, and are indicated to gap down this morning below yesterday's low, it looks like a major change in character that should lead to more selling going forward.



In fact, the last time we saw this was on May 20th, 2008.  That was under fairly similar circumstances and indeed it marked the peak and a waterfall decline to new lows.  But surprisingly, this was an isolated case.  There were 10 other instances using S&P 500 futures since 1982, and all 10 closed above their opening price.  9 of the 10 were still higher 3 days later and 7 of them were higher a month later.  Really only 3 of the 11 occurrences marked any kind of meaningful peak.



So I'm not necessarily counting on this morning's weakness to lead to another waterfall decline even though that's what happened last time.  I'm just looking for a pullback (I guess I'd add myself to the "correction" camp along with so many of the I.I. respondents).  As I reiterated yesterday, I've been looking for the S&P to hit trouble as it ran into 940-950 which I'm still as a likely (temporary) ceiling over the next week or so.

天真的冷酷

没人？顶。。。。。。。。。。。。。

Cobra

酷马提醒说从历史交易量上说，向上阻力小。从图上也能看出来。
ychen222 发表于 2009-6-3 09:15

是，就是库马提醒的。所以这个点很关键。

target1

Thank you! Cobra!!!

plguest

ddd

slp

哎呀，光顾着钻在动感的帖子里学习了，一转眼老蛇这里的沙发板凳地板都被人抢走了。只有战在房顶看了。

elme

freefly

是，就是库马提醒的。所以这个点很关键。
Cobra 发表于 2009-6-3 09:19

这个跳空，希望今天补上，短期（这个星期）就没有疑惑了。老蛇，您说是吗？