解释一下, 如果你没有任何preference (say 50% vs 50%), then the probability of getting two ups is only 0.5*0.5=0.25. The probability of the opposite is 0.75. Of course, I know I assume independence here. This might be wrong, and so I adjusted the probability a bit. 就这么简单。
Thanks for sharing! Mon & Tue up will cause a deadly short squeeze and good chance for MMs to distribute their holdings. MMs are 120% supported by Fed and Gov, relatively easy for them to dominate the market.