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S&P 500 to Bonds Ratio, 过去100 年

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发表于 2021-1-9 08:40 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


 楼主| 发表于 2021-1-9 08:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
Interpretation
Which performed better in the past, Stocks or Bonds? The ratio in the chart above divides the S&P 500 by a Total Return Bond Index. When the ratio rises, stocks beat bonds - and when it falls, bonds beat stocks.
Stocks are a form of equity and Bonds are a form of debt. Equity and debt are the two different ways of financing a company. Stocks are riskier than bonds. They represent an ownership stake in a company and let you participate in its profits and losses. When the company goes bankrupt the shareholders get paid last. Whereas stocks pay dividends, bonds pay interest. In contrast to dividends, the interest payments on bonds are guaranteed. For this reason bonds are classified as "fixed income" instruments.
Due to its "fixed income" nature, a bond's value is primarily influenced by changes in inflation and interest rates. A stock's value on the other hand is susceptible to a variety of factors, including changes in earnings growth expectations.

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 楼主| 发表于 2021-1-9 08:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
sp-500-vs-total-return-b.jpeg

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要是两个都算了dividends, 那真的的买bond了。 怪不得很多人hold很多的bond  发表于 2021-1-9 09:18 PM

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 楼主| 发表于 2021-1-9 08:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
Interpretation
This chart gives a different view of the data from the chart above, comparing the percentage change between S&P 500 and the Total Return Bond Index over time.
The Bond Index was calculated combining 5 different sources. Unfortunately, with these different sources we are not always comparing apples to apples. Until 1826 the index consists of federal bonds, until 1850 it's mostly municipal bonds, and until 1897 it's an aggregate of federal, municipal and corporate bonds. Since 1897 all sources use investment grade corporate bonds.
This version of the S&P 500 is a price index in contrast to total return index. Therefore, it does not include dividends. Including dividends leads to a very different picture, which is demonstrated in the chart below.
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发表于 2021-1-9 09:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
你是说大顶来了吗?

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 楼主| 发表于 2021-1-9 09:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
阿方 发表于 2021-1-9 09:15 PM
你是说大顶来了吗?

只是分享信息,

大顶在未来的某日一定会来。。。

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发表于 2021-1-9 10:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
bokchoy888 发表于 2021-1-9 09:18 PM
只是分享信息,

大顶在未来的某日一定会来。。。

脚滑

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