[链接]顶部的判断

oldfairy

以后连载了
看到介绍如何预测顶的都放到这里

第一篇
CoolMax

顶部信号

http://www.hutong9.com/viewthread.php?tid=41876&highlight=

qiangge

oldfairy

hehe. could you name one always right?

4# hfdcai2000

oldfairy

Second One by Marketguy

http://www.hutong9.com/viewthread.php?tid=46283&extra=page%3D1

oldfairy

Third one

http://www.hutong9.com/viewthread.php?tid=47559&extra=page%3D1

written by Lynxx

NYADV top/bottom watch watch

Theory:
1. When an uptrend starts to slow down, it's NYADV tends to fluctuate in a smaller and smaller range. It's local maxima form a series of lower highs, on which a downward trendline can be drawn.
2. As the market starts the topping process, NYADV will shoot up again to pass the trendline upward. This should mark the beginning of topping.
3. Once the top is reached, market starts to go down, NYADV will drop sharply to pass the trendline again. This time is downward. And it should mark the end of topping.
4. Since NYADV itself is too noisy, I choose to use EMA5 as the gauge.

Additional comments:
1. Sometimes if the final spike didn't show up then there is no warning of the beginning of topping. But since NYADV will certainly drop sharply, a trend line connecting a series higher troughs may be drawn to confirm the top (the end of topping).
2. It should work similarly for bottom watch. But it looks like bottom watch does not have the same edge as top watch. And I am lazy now. May take some time to figure it out later. Will update then.

oldfairy

by lynxx again
http://www.hutong9.com/viewthrea ... &extra=page%3D1

NYADV top/bottom watch update
The theory of NYADV top/bottom watch is here:
http://www.hutong9.com/viewthread.php?tid=47559

The theory was modified a little bit to eliminate noise by adding a confirmation line, which is the trend line of troughs. The trend line of peaks should be called signal line.

Today NYADV dropped a lot. It made the EMA5 of NYADV 1) pass signal line decisively, and 2) pass confirmation line with a narrow margin. In addition to the signal mark the beginning of the topping process 4 days ago, this theory (if it is right) suggests that the topping process has been completed. The top is today's high.
If this theory does not work, I still have the excuse that the confirmation signal is at noise level now. Should NYADV go down further tomorrow to pass confirmation line by large margin, all my excuses would be used up.

whzdf

derf

thanks

当时惘然

为什么上面的链接都无法打开？

jy1029

当时惘然 发表于 2011-3-26 14:08
为什么上面的链接都无法打开？

为什么上面的链接都无法打开？

jy1029

oldfairy 发表于 2009-3-26 00:46
以后连载了
看到介绍如何预测顶的都放到这里

大不开阿，老大