猜猜..... Which route market is going to take next week???

luckystar2006

There is at least more than a lower low ahead for sure during next 2-week, but my tough question is which route market will take during next week?

a)  Is market planning to go straight down similar to November scenario?

luckystar2006

b) Or is market going to re-test its previous high first (like those red circles in below chart) before making lower lows than Friday's low?  Don't forget that the current wing setup is very bullish for early next week.

cbd

B)
I would wish b),because i sold my sborts on thursday

赚钱大帝

I choose b, it is too early to talk about top now.

oldwolf

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-3-26 11:24 AM
b) Or is market going to re-test its previous high first (like those red circles in below chart) bef ...

现在大盘 跟着油走，一模一样。
你画个油的图，也许能看出点意思来。

补充内容 (2016-3-26 09:29 PM):
thanks cutloss-runp

Bencat

georgeyn

I bet route A, going down straight

George25

the last bar is a hammer, which is very bullish. For next week, hmm, it may be going up 1 or 2 days in early of next week, but it should go down by the end of next week.

zhao

I bet route b although I wish the market go straight down

美眉妹

A

zhutou3

老大， 青蛙们都希望知道你自己的想法。
个人希望走a)， 直接跌下去

luckystar2006

Thank you for your participation.  Honestly, I've no idea which route market will take.  My best approach in such scenario is to wait until swing signals switching to sell side.  Then, the whole picture for short-term time frame will become clearer to us so that we can make the next move.  

Below ES 4-hourly chart is clearly bullish for early week, which I'd be feeling very uncomfortable right now if I were in bear camp.

trend

Not matter A or B route it will take, important is the size of either up or down, after continuous run up, even it's A it may not run up much from here, that's most think, few think otherwise big run up.
So less concern to be on bear side than bull side...(I read based on day/week chart instead)
As others mention OIL is key sector to watch, it may be in top out process... whenever oil opposite index, it means real bull market start

luckystar2006

As I mentioned from another thread that a very reliable short-term signal was triggered last Friday to suggest a lower low ahead to more on the downside.  How this signal works is that RED histogram must be higher than GREEN histogram in order to get triggered.  See it by yourself.

Elephant

qunzong

Down, up, down.

happymaker

下周两个OE难有大动作

jukifox

日线MACD高位死叉，就算往上高度也不会大。现在只有一种走势比较麻烦，就是小阳或者继续横，你会看到MACD粘连。这样就不能马上买PUT，因为TIME VALUE很吓人的。象有人说到2070什么的，感觉这次不太可能（欢迎打脸）。顶背离不是在这儿做的，因为低点不够低。LUCKY说的LOWER LOW，有可能才是往2070－2080冲的起点。但是有几个问题，4月初有股票解禁。4月10几号EARNING SESSION，企业不可以卖也不可以回购股票。结合刚刚发布的GDP里，企业利润的增长，那么在高位投资者是买还是卖呢？如果看1－2周，我坚信会跌到2000以下。

hais

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befriend

Thanks