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[灌水] Make big bets with more PUTs on Friday

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发表于 2016-3-19 12:15 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


Around 2pm yesterday, I bought 300 puts with April 1st expiration date and another 380 (my lucky #) puts with April 8th expiration date

Guess what?  I ran out of money for foods yesterday afternoon.  So, me & my dog were on the street begging donation for dinner
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发表于 2016-3-19 12:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
WOW。。。。周一一定跟。。。这波向下能看见多少?

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I'm speculating that SPX will drop >70pts between now and April 8th  发表于 2016-3-19 01:06 PM
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发表于 2016-3-19 12:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 TopTen 于 2016-3-19 12:39 PM 编辑

大手笔, 必胜!
我想这轮上涨趋势快接近尾声
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发表于 2016-3-19 12:55 PM 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
要是横盘几周怎么办?
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-3-19 01:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
yhwang 发表于 2016-3-19 12:55 PM
要是横盘几周怎么办?

Well, I'm willing to make more big bets on the downside before April 8th 'coz I'm certain we are right at a short-term top.  However, I'll wait for some short-term signals to get confirmed first before going bigger with my PUTs.
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-3-19 01:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
TopTen 发表于 2016-3-19 12:30 PM
大手笔, 必胜!
我想这轮上涨趋势快接近尾声

I totally agree with you.  At most, there is a higher high ahead early next week which I'm 100% confident that this higher high will be erased immediately thereafter.
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-3-19 01:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
I'll hold my dog & cry if I lose this time.  Otherwise, I'll buy this cottage so you guys can come for few days of vacations FOR FREE
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发表于 2016-3-19 01:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2016-3-19 12:17 PM
I'll hold my dog & cry if I lose this time.  Otherwise, I'll buy this cottage so you guys can come f ...

where is that? address?  
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发表于 2016-3-19 02:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2016-3-19 01:17 PM
I'll hold my dog & cry if I lose this time.  Otherwise, I'll buy this cottage so you guys can come f ...

真的, I'm looking forward
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发表于 2016-3-19 02:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2016-3-19 03:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
Pawn your new Range Rover first.
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发表于 2016-3-19 03:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2016-3-19 01:04 PM
I totally agree with you.  At most, there is a higher high ahead early next week which I'm 100% co ...

Will you add more puts next week? If I take a guess, next week and the week after there may all have higher highers.
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发表于 2016-3-19 03:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
星期一跌的可能性很大。
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发表于 2016-3-19 03:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2016-3-19 01:17 PM
I'll hold my dog & cry if I lose this time.  Otherwise, I'll buy this cottage so you guys can come f ...

这个怎么上去啊,不会用绳子拉上去吧。呵呵!
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发表于 2016-3-19 04:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 jukifox 于 2016-3-19 04:13 PM 编辑
luckystar2006 发表于 2016-3-19 01:00 PM
Well, I'm willing to make more big bets on the downside before April 8th 'coz I'm certain we are r ...


周四200PUTS
周五680PUTS
下周还要加。。。。
这真是大 手笔啊。。。。

老大,我的分析是这样的。
我自己看了下SP和NASDAQ的周线,其实NASDAQ的周线还是有继续往上冲的可能,SP已经反弹了6周,其实还可以往上反弹1,2周如果NASDAQ下周比较强劲的话,然后后面会有一个大跌至少要击穿30线,现在所有的指标都在高位,日线的MACD就差死叉了。我们往下面看,下面1990的地方有缺口,有补缺口的可能,周五的缺口也没有补。如果我们假设,下周还会继续涨收小阳。但是因为已经连涨3天了,离MA5线有点远。就算继续上涨,要回踩MA5或者MA10,上涨是交替回踩的MA5和MA10的。现在到MA5有15点,到MA10有30多点,回补1990的缺口呢有大概60点吧。如果按照你分析的下周会先HIGHER HIGH,那么大概就会有60-70点。回踩完,这次一定会突破2080的,应该到2090附近然后开始回调。。。

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从大局上看,要是走成这样,那就是大牛市还没有结束。但我个人的看法是大熊市已经开始了。  发表于 2016-3-20 12:40 PM
I said it "might" and I'm not certain if there is a higher high ahead.  发表于 2016-3-19 08:08 PM

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发表于 2016-3-19 06:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
很好奇,为什么是4月8日呢,有什么特别的原因?
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-3-19 07:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
yanzi 发表于 2016-3-19 03:32 PM
Will you add more puts next week? If I take a guess, next week and the week after there may all ha ...

sc1.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-3-19 08:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
yhwang 发表于 2016-3-19 06:06 PM
很好奇,为什么是4月8日呢,有什么特别的原因?

Some of you know why, but the rest might have to do more works to discover why

However, that's NOT the main reason why I decided to buy quite many puts.  It was 'coz some EARLY short-term/swing signals kicked in during Friday's afternoon.
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-3-19 08:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
ysc 发表于 2016-3-19 01:52 PM
where is that? address?

Just in case you don't get my street intersection right, it is "In Yo Butt".
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-3-19 08:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
My strategy: if market drops big on Monday/Tuesday, I'll sold my PUTs for gain and then, I'll get back in big when all of my ST signals confirmed on the downside.

Otherwise, I'll keep holding until they are profitable because I'm confident with my signals.

Until then, I'll not argue with anyone about anything because my view is for myself.  So........ good luck to all.

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to you , how much is big?>1%?thanks  发表于 2016-3-19 08:48 PM

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