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[技术分析] Market direction for the rest of this year

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发表于 2015-12-19 01:41 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


I created below special charts with notes, only for HTers, before heading out for Christmas shopping as we are going to hold a party for friends this year.  I won't type much for now since I already spent over an hour to create these charts & my gf is rushing me to get off my computers.

This chart shows why market is NOT going to repeat similar to the one in August 2015

sc.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-19 01:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
This chart shows not much rooms left on the downside
sc2.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-19 01:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 luckystar2006 于 2015-12-19 01:48 PM 编辑

This intraday chart works so many time in the past
sc3.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-19 01:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
Statistics are strong for the rest of this year (courtesy of Ryan Detrick)
sc4.png

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发表于 2015-12-19 02:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-12-19 02:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
many thanks...

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发表于 2015-12-19 02:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
谢谢分享,周末愉快!
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发表于 2015-12-19 03:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-12-19 04:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-19 01:44 PM
Statistics are strong for the rest of this year (courtesy of Ryan Detrick)

Any target for the rally next week? If there is a one this yr

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Unless I see some other indicators get confirmed I'll add some more calls.  发表于 2015-12-20 12:11 AM
I don't really have any target. Either I'll cut loss asap or I'll get out once swing signals are in sell mode.  发表于 2015-12-20 12:10 AM
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发表于 2015-12-19 04:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
Many thanks. Have a wonderful holiday.
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发表于 2015-12-19 04:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-12-19 05:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
拭目以待
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发表于 2015-12-19 09:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks a lot
Agree with you. IWM was relatively stronger this Friday.
I still have 1/3 of cash in my account and will add more shares if the market keeps going down next week.
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-20 12:06 AM | 显示全部楼层
I'm back to post another chart that I don't feel quite comfortable for if I'm with the bull's camp.   Have a look at the red circle.  It shows upper and lower BB are getting too wide.  Vertical red lines show past scenarios where either market might rebound for few days before testing it's previous low or market continued to make lower low for few days and then forming a short-term bottom.  Both scenarios suggest a lower low ahead.

As much as I've positive views about market, but I trade cautiously because I believe the current environment is quite difficult and challenging for traders to make some livings.  So, be careful and good luck to everyone.
sc.png

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发表于 2015-12-20 12:37 AM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks for the warning.
Let's see what will come out....
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发表于 2015-12-20 08:01 AM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-20 12:06 AM
I'm back to post another chart that I don't feel quite comfortable for if I'm with the bull's camp.  ...

Maybe drop after Christmas week? We will know more tomorrow!
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发表于 2015-12-20 09:05 AM | 显示全部楼层
thanks a lot for sharing!
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发表于 2015-12-20 12:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-12-20 01:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
这个图和你的结论与你在 “Getting ready to build cases for a bottom“ 的结论矛盾。这个图cover 更长时间段。哪一个更准确?谢谢。

补充内容 (2015-12-20 04:21 PM):
我指的是14楼的图

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Otherwise, please re-post my chart so I know which one u're talking about :)  发表于 2015-12-20 03:55 PM
You mean chart #2 from this thread? If so, indicator from this chart is the same as with indicator from that chart under Getting Ready.....  发表于 2015-12-20 03:54 PM
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-20 03:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 luckystar2006 于 2015-12-20 03:57 PM 编辑

This is what I've been busy for during the whole weekend.  We ran around stores to buy stuff for our x'mas tree.  She wanted a bigger tree, but I'm happy with this one
sc.png
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