12/03/2015 我猜明天。。。

Cobra

明天是Job data，只要数据不是太糟糕（没写错），大概就会跌。最近NFP day以跌居多（红箭头），down 8 of the last 11。




至于今天熊熊赢了这场拉锯战意味着什么，自己看图吧，不解释了。本来想遮掉的，省得误以为我让你short。我只是告诉你setup，反正不是我发明的，至于这个setup是否能成功，我咋知道？我要总知道，还在这里卖啥报告？老实说，根据我的经验，123 formation setup成功率其实很不高，基本就是撞大运，因为这是个逆势的setup，所以关键是你每次target至少得是2x才行。根据这个原则，你现在杀跌明显的晚了，只有等明天反弹了才有机会，问题是明天反弹又不能太大，否则就可能趋势又变牛了，对吧？所以讲白了，有setup，只是有个借口而已（可以理直气壮地说LZ不是感觉派，LZ是TA！），最后还得看你的运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运气气气气气气气气气气气气。。。

novice_trader

运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运运气气气气气气气气气气气气。。。

sorry

感觉跌的差不多了，没多少空间了

源济

lilitulip

shibainu

五谷

运气很重要，期盼明天有个狗屎运。

luckystar2006

IF market drops big during open tomorrow morning, I GUESS it's very likely to recover during afternoon as this SWING trading chart suggests market going to rebound soon.  However, 0/6 of my ST signals shows any BUY signal.  So, I don't think this pull-back is over yet

lite1067

luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-3 08:45 PM
IF market drops big during open tomorrow morning, I GUESS it's very likely to recover during afterno ...

short the bounce................

cfayahoo

luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-3 08:45 PM
IF market drops big during open tomorrow morning, I GUESS it's very likely to recover during afterno ...

if job numbers are good, it will drop first. I think 80 % job number will beat, however，so many people and funds are holding cash now, hard to image big drop are coming soon.

RedCedar

Thank you !!

风行过

Elephant

Cobra

cfayahoo 发表于 2015-12-3 09:01 PM
if job numbers are good, it will drop first. I think 80 % job number will beat, however，so many p ...

This is Mutual Fund cash level which is at record low for long long time. Basically I don't think there's much cash on the sideline.

Cobra

cfayahoo 发表于 2015-12-3 09:01 PM
if job numbers are good, it will drop first. I think 80 % job number will beat, however，so many p ...

This is NYSE margin debt which also is at historical high indicating lots of people are borrowing money to trade.

Cobra

cfayahoo 发表于 2015-12-3 09:01 PM
if job numbers are good, it will drop first. I think 80 % job number will beat, however，so many p ...

this is combing margin debt and credit together, also you can see huge borrowing to trade. So again, I don't believe lots of cash on the sideline.

luckystar2006

cfayahoo 发表于 2015-12-3 09:01 PM
if job numbers are good, it will drop first. I think 80 % job number will beat, however，so many p ...

There are excellent traders/experts on here who will surprise you with what they know and good at.   

tips

cfayahoo

Cobra 发表于 2015-12-3 11:16 PM
this is combing margin debt and credit together, also you can see huge borrowing to trade. So agai ...

Excellent chart! Individual traders around me are mostly holding cash now but I guess big fund such as fidelity and Vanguard still buying ?

cfayahoo

luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-3 11:53 PM
There are excellent traders/experts on here who will surprise you with what they know and good at. ...

Looks like market is due for a big pull back soon? Maybe after Christmas rally ?