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Why I think S&P500 is going to drop +50pts from here...

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发表于 2015-12-2 10:28 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


There are 4/5 short-term systems suggesting market is going to drop for at least several days.  Below is screenshot for one of those systems which shows its probability is 100/100 so far this year.  How it works is 1) pink line must cross below blue line by market close and 2) MACD must cross below.

sc.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-2 10:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
Worth to mention again is VIX chart in below which shows narrowing BB that is going to break out soon.
sc1.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-2 10:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
MACD for both VIX:XIV daily and weekly are crossing up which are not a positive sign for market
sc2.png

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发表于 2015-12-2 10:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-12-2 10:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
多谢
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发表于 2015-12-2 10:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-12-2 11:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-2 10:29 PM
MACD for both VIX:XIV daily and weekly are crossing up which are not a positive sign for market

这几天VIX的yield curve非常诡异。

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发表于 2015-12-2 11:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-2 11:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
Seasonality for the last 3-year also shows weakness during 2nd week of December (i.e. red arrows)
sc.png

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发表于 2015-12-2 11:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
为了不喝粥把压箱底的宝贝都拿出来了

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哈哈  发表于 2015-12-2 11:50 PM

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发表于 2015-12-2 11:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-12-3 08:40 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-3 09:07 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 luckystar2006 于 2015-12-3 09:27 AM 编辑

IF you like my posts/charts, make sure you guys give 蛇大 a big by going to (http://stockcharts.com/public/1684859/tenpp) to vote for him since most of my signals derived from his hard works.  
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-3 09:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 luckystar2006 于 2015-12-3 09:48 AM 编辑

Give me that +50pts and I'll take you guys to Maldives **** Conditions might apply ****
sc.jpg
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-3 10:09 AM | 显示全部楼层
With RSI>50 and MACD crossing above, a breakout on the upside is imminent...
sc.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-3 10:13 AM | 显示全部楼层
Here comes the first +10 pts, waiting for the rest.  COMING SOON???
sc.png
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发表于 2015-12-3 10:15 AM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-3 08:46 AM
Give me that +50pts and I'll take you guys to Maldives **** Conditions might apply  ****

I am in.  

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DEAL. haha...........  发表于 2015-12-3 10:36 AM
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发表于 2015-12-3 10:32 AM | 显示全部楼层
decent gain in uvxy, sold!
buying back xiv now

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Cool bro. Thumb up!!!  发表于 2015-12-3 10:38 AM
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发表于 2015-12-3 10:44 AM | 显示全部楼层


补充内容 (2015-12-3 07:09 PM):
太牛了!!
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发表于 2015-12-3 12:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-3 10:13 AM
Here comes the first +10 pts, waiting for the rest.  COMING SOON???

waiting patiently for 50 points drop, maybe next week?

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Yes as I anticipate few more drops carrying onto next week  发表于 2015-12-3 12:24 PM
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