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[讨论] tsla被狠狠搞了一把

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发表于 2015-3-2 06:42 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


TSLA

By: GEORGE ZACK
Published: Mar 2, 2015 at 11:17 am EST

Once again, Bank of America (BofA) Merrill Lynch has shown skepticism toward Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA), sending the stock price down more than 2% in early trading on Monday. BofA analyst John Lovallo maintained an Underperform rating on the stock with the target price of $65, the least among Wall Street analysts.

By looking at the 10K, the sell-side firm said Tesla is operating a “Risky Business,” pointing out two factors that are cause of great concern.

The first being Tesla's Resale Value Guarantee (RVG) program, which allows Tesla Model S owners to resell their vehicle back to the automaker after three years of usage at 47% purchase price. BofA said this strategy accumulates high demand for Tesla vehicles, but the Palo Alto-based car maker is underestimating its loss since electric vehicles (EVs) have a low resale value, and even a recent Wall Street Journal article supports this claim.

Therefore, it is difficult to gauge how much Tesla EVs will be worth after three years, and second-hand EV market has not yet been developed. Tesla sold 10,400 Model S under its RVG program, which accounts for 18% Model S deliveries since the first batch rolled out.

Second, BofA talked about Tesla's finished goods inventory for the fourth quarter, which is worth around $397 million, and raises serious questions on the automaker's order-only delivery. It was unusual for Tesla Motors to fail its delivery targets in 4Q. At its 4Q earnings call last month, Tesla announced it missed deliveries because of shipment problems, bad weather conditions, and customers gone on holidays.

Based on its estimates, the sell-side firm believes around 1,750 vehicles were not delivered last quarter. The firm questioned why Tesla has made vehicles “available for immediate sale at retail and service center locations” ( stated in Tesla’s 10K), when the company boasts of having more orders than production rates.

Tesla stock is currently down 2.85%, as of 10:45 am EST, trading at $197.6.
 楼主| 发表于 2015-3-2 06:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
居然target price才$65

从日线上看,总体上还在下降通道。我整体偏熊,但是有可能形成对称三角的range,这里出一个小反弹

小时线看,中规中矩的熊旗。但还是觉得今天收盘买入,明天早晨卖出应该有一个机会。去$65似乎夸张了一点,我也不是很同意这篇文章里面的观点。
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回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2015-3-2 07:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
200破了。。
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发表于 2015-3-2 10:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-3-2 10:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
今天好像还真是个入点。再破了就很难看了
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-3-6 07:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
vanmark 发表于 2015-3-2 10:07 PM
今天好像还真是个入点。再破了就很难看了

支撑破了,这下估计要往下多一腿了

我现在手上13股,13太保,娃哈哈

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