iwm 水下很深了，是反手short, 还是等待反弹？ 谢谢各位建议！

newyorker

iwm 水下很深了，是反手short, 还是等待反弹？ 谢谢各位建议！

iwm 为啥这么弱， qqq, spy 还很强。

I heard that iwm has a lot of bank components. Is it true?

Thank you for your advice!

葡萄柚

问理论， 要找学游老大。 问操作， 找肥大， 老猪王

newyorker

乐意听任何人的建议。

当然也请学游 和 肥大 帮忙 建议一下， 谢谢了！  

Ed02

Excerpted from one post in Cobra's weekend update: "The Bottom Line: We expected to see some post target consolidation last week and that’s exactly what happened. Unfortunately, right now we have no bullish or bearish setups in motion to trade, but a couple of things to watch next week with emphasis on any move above or below last week’s high and low. Overall probabilities still favor the bulls given the dominant uptrends and the three unfilled gaps from last week. -The Kirk Report"

Personally I feel it might go up to fill all the three gaps, but will very likely fail reach another real all-time-high.  So you should have chance to escape ...

CrisisInvesting

I shorted it.

oldwolf

maybe the best for you now, is buying tza to hedge and try to make a swing trade right.
this way you may get out of water.

newyorker

Ed02, thank you.  

Ed02

Just checked the IWM charts for all the time range, and my feeling is that from 1m/5m/15m level, there could be a bit weakness on Monday morning, but 1 hour plot shows there should be some room up.  The 4h plot shows there could be a bounce for a few handles (so 1-3 days), and daily/weekly charts indicate there will be more room down in the next few weeks. In the monthly level and the long term, IWM looks still bullish to me.  In summary, I feel there could be some up room next week (with QQQ leading), but the whole week could be closed even or slightly less (as it is Opex week).  However, the week after the next might be very dangerous, and if I were you, I may use TZA to hedge or just sell some/all when it gets higher next week (around mid-week I estimate).

Now it really depends on what time frame and what investment vehicle you are using ...  

Please decide for yourself per above (maybe inaccurate) information, and understand the best way is to equip yourself with investment (either fundamental analysis and/or technical analysis) knowledge yourself.

Good luck, and please remember investment is just part of life ...

lovefreedom

Ed02 发表于 2014-7-12 09:59 PM
Just checked the IWM charts for all the time range, and my feeling is that from 1m/5m/15m level, the ...

could you please elaborate your view about spx?
Thanks a lot!

Ed02

Similarly as IWM, SPX will have some room up on the hourly chart.  But since it is stronger than IWM, I think it will be able to get close to or some handles higher than the ATH of 1985.59 (less than 20 handles up anyway).  After that, it may even make a bit slightly higher new ATH (e.g. around 2k :-)), but personally I am skeptical that it could make a decisive new high without some correction in the next 4-8 weeks...  Good luck!

Ed02

Another advice (an ad for Cobra :-)) is to consider using Cobra's service, which is extremely helpful.  You can start with the free daily update (e.g. http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... 4fefe1145fce16b9255), and can learn/see/feel the opinions of all these great masters.  I have used Cobra's service from the very beginning and besides the live trading lounge, the daily market predictions/report, I especially enjoy Cobra's help on specific stock (and that helped me greatly recently to avoid 12k+ possible loss :-)   Cobra rocks and I deeply appreciate that - as Cobra is helping me to realize my dream of early retiring before 50

newyorker

Thanks a lot Ed02!