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发表于 2013-12-28 05:28 PM
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Watch Out: Barbarians At The Gate For USG (USG)
本帖最后由 bigbadwolf 于 2013-12-28 05:53 PM 编辑
Editor's Note: Any reference to TheStreet Ratings and its underlying recommendation does not reflect the opinion of TheStreet, Inc. or any of its contributors including Jim Cramer or Stephanie Link.
Trade-Ideas LLC identified USG (USG) as a "barbarian at the gate" (strong stocks crossing above resistance with today's range greater than 200%) candidate. In addition to specific proprietary factors, Trade-Ideas identified USG as such a stock due to the following factors:
USG has an average dollar-volume (as measured by average daily share volume multiplied by share price) of $55.0 million.
USG has traded 2.8 million shares today.
USG traded in a range 212.9% of the normal price range with a price range of $1.46.
USG traded above its daily resistance level (quality: 23 days, meaning that the stock is crossing a resistance level set by the last 23 calendar days. The resistance price is defined by the Price - $0.01 at the time of the signal).
Stocks matching the 'Barbarian at the Gate' criteria are worthwhile stocks to watch for a variety of factors including historical back testing and volatility. Trade-Ideas targets these opportunities because the stock is exhibiting an unusual behavior while displaying positive price action. In this case, the stock crossed an important inflection point; namely, 'resistance' while at the same time the range of the stock's movement in price is more than twice its normal size. This large range foreshadows a possible continuation as the stock
More details on USG:
USG Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and distribution of building materials worldwide. The company operates in three reportable segments: North American Gypsum, Worldwide Ceilings, and Building Products Distribution. Currently there are 8 analysts that rate USG a buy, no analysts rate it a sell, and 4 rate it a hold.
The average volume for USG has been 1.5 million shares per day over the past 30 days. USG has a market cap of $2.8 billion and is part of the industrial goods sector and materials & construction industry. The stock has a beta of 3.01 and a short float of 20.7% with 7.85 days to cover. Shares are down 8.2% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Friday.
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TheStreetRatings.com Analysis:
TheStreet Quant Ratings rates USG as a hold. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, impressive record of earnings per share growth and compelling growth in net income. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including a generally disappointing performance in the stock itself, generally higher debt management risk and poor profit margins.
Highlights from the ratings report include:
USG's revenue growth has slightly outpaced the industry average of 7.8%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues rose by 11.7%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
USG CORP reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. This trend suggests that the performance of the business is improving. During the past fiscal year, USG CORP continued to lose money by earning -$1.71 versus -$3.78 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($0.56 versus -$1.71).
Net operating cash flow has increased to $56.00 million or 16.66% when compared to the same quarter last year. Despite an increase in cash flow, USG CORP's cash flow growth rate is still lower than the industry average growth rate of 56.89%.
In its most recent trading session, USG has closed at a price level that was not very different from its closing price of one year earlier. This is probably due to its weak earnings growth as well as other mixed factors. The fact that the stock is now selling for less than others in its industry in relation to its current earnings is not reason enough to justify a buy rating at this time.
The debt-to-equity ratio is very high at 50.33 and currently higher than the industry average, implying increased risk associated with the management of debt levels within the company. Regardless of the company's weak debt-to-equity ratio, USG has managed to keep a strong quick ratio of 1.59, which demonstrates the ability to cover short-term cash needs. |
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