非农就业数据很好？

ctcld

刚刚公布的10月美国非农就业达20.4万人，远超预期的12万人。9月由14.8万人上调至16.3万人，8月由19.3万人上调至23.8万人。尽管数据看起来非常优异，但我们注意到除了失业率从7.2%上升至7.3%外，有两个现象值得忧虑。

其一，衡量就业总人口的重要指标劳动力参与率从9月的63.2%进一步下滑至62.8%，创下1978年以来的最低值。



更严重的是，离开就业队伍的美国人仅仅在10月一个月内就暴增近100万人，确切的说是93.2万人。这在美国历史上可以排进前三。（这可能和政府关门有关）

landlord

   九月消费增长数据也不乐观，报道归罪于汽车销售记到八月账上，有点牵强

不容易啊

Leisure and hospitality employment rose by 53,000 in October. Within the industry, employment in food services and drinking places increased by 29,000, the same as its average monthly gain over the prior 12 months.（十月是天朝子民的旅游旺季， 这个增加不会又是咱中国人贡献的吧. 那恐怕只是临时工啊。 二月也是国内的长假， 这块增加的应该也多）

Employment in retail trade increased by 44,000 in October, compared with an average monthly gain of 31,000 over the prior 12 months. Job growth was widespread within the industry in October, with gains in food and beverage stores (+12,000), electronics and appliance stores (+10,000), sporting goods and hobby stores (+8,000), general merchandise stores (+8,000), and building material and garden supply stores (+7,000). Clothing and clothing accessories stores lost 13,000
jobs.

Professional and technical services employment rose in October (+21,000) and has grown by 213,000 over the past 12 months. Within the industry, employment in management and technical consulting services rose by 8,000 in October.

Manufacturing added 19,000 jobs in October, with job growth occurring in motor vehicles and parts (+6,000), wood products (+3,000), and furniture and related products (+3,000). On net, manufacturing employment has changed little since February 2013.

Health care employment increased over the month (+15,000). Job growth in health care has averaged 17,000 per month thus far this year, compared with an average monthly gain of 27,000 in 2012.（欧记健保很失败， 明年债顶之争若O8让步， 这块应该也会降下来）

新人初来乍到，DDD

ctcld

不容易啊 发表于 2013-11-8 02:13 PM
Leisure and hospitality employment rose by 53,000 in October. Within the industry, employment in f ...

欢迎！

不容易啊

刚来不太会玩HT, 谢老大出手如此大方。

Jennyahwu

ctcld 发表于 2013-11-8 03:18 PM
欢迎！

cctd, I think you prefer to bull. why you say the data not real good? how do u think of the market moving? squeeze bear again? today spy V 1740->1760 shows the bull so strong/ how do u think of the next week? I feel the week down, then before Nov 28 2 weeks go up

mitwkwk

我觉得失业率上升的一个原因是找工作的人更多了，应该是经济好转的一个征兆吧

记得之前失业率低，有人说过和统计方法有关，只统计了挂号找工作的。那些没工作又不愿意找的，不算进失业率