肥哥才吃了一啖魚头。。。

股市估市

却误当成魚尾，
记得去年SPX1325时，亦犯了个同样老毛病，
当时亦大喊魚尾了，结果不用再说了吧。

dsp

SPY has been up 25% in this year. Did you see this before? Too fast and too big.

股市估市

dsp 发表于 2013-10-25 01:37 PM
SPY has been up 25% in this year. Did you see this before? Too fast and too big.

yes，，克林顿时期有过，Rut涨40%，，，

chinesebuffet

祝福。。。

dsp

"股市估市  2003年，spx28.54% rut 42.92%  发表于 2013-10-25 11:41 PM "

learned from you. Thanks.  

quants

I can understand the one in 2003 since it happened at the beginning of the Bull market but still up 23% after 4 years rally????

股市估市

quants 发表于 2013-10-26 07:07 AM
I can understand the one in 2003 since it happened at the beginning of the Bull market but still up  ...

thanks for sharing .but we all need to keep in mind 股市usually can go a lot more than what we think it is reasonable.

quants

股市估市 发表于 2013-10-26 10:59 PM
thanks for sharing .but we all need to keep in mind 股市usually can go a lot more than what we thi ...

True. But on the other hand, in long run stock price also has the mean reversion factor. I don't want to simply say 2013 is like 2007 from the table. But the possibility is quite high IMHO.