今天大盘提醒。。。。。。

chinesebuffet

，，，

chinesebuffet

什么对话这么神秘呢？ 难道， 今天会deal？ 不会吧？

landlord

早，刚看华盛顿邮报说，周末是共和党有些支持不住了，民主党在谈判中乘胜追击，加大筹码

Senate leaders’ talks on shutdown, debt limit stall as sides await market’s reaction

http://www.washingtonpost.com/po ... f80831fc_story.html

chinesebuffet

landlord 发表于 2013-10-14 07:32 AM
早，刚看华盛顿邮报说，周末是共和党有些支持不住了，民主党在谈判中乘胜追击，加大筹码

Senate leader ...

随时会deal了。。

amansblab

quants

主席不上图的预测都不作数。

美国任何法律都要两院通过。参议院又不是第一次通过类似法案，众议院就是不理你，你有什么办法。

quants

From GS


3. A deal in principle could be reached in the next few days, but going slightly past the October 17 deadline is entirely possible. An agreement in the Senate looks likely over the next few days. Procedural hurdles in the House and particularly the Senate often cause delays, but usually don't result in missed deadlines if a political agreement is in place. That said, if a bipartisan deal is reached in the Senate, getting the bill through the House would still be a tricky proposition and Republican leaders may not want to put such a bill to a vote until other options have been exhausted. Lawmakers have taken the October 17 deadline surprisingly seriously, probably because the media have focused on October 17 as the date at which a "default" could occur. This is inaccurate, but might help a deal to be reached sooner rather than later. On October 17, the Treasury becomes constrained by the debt limit and can no longer borrow. However, the Treasury expects to have $30bn in cash on that date, which it could still use to finance the difference between revenues for several more days, and perhaps longer. Given how much lawmakers have narrowed their differences, it is very difficult to imagine a stalemate lasting until Treasury's cash has been depleted and its ability to make payments is put at risk. That said, last week we believed it was possible that the final agreement might not be reached until slightly past October 17 and that still looks possible based on where things stand this morning.

landlord

quants 发表于 2013-10-14 08:52 AM
From GS

Very likely