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本帖最后由 lite1067 于 2013-4-18 08:27 PM 编辑
IBM is key indicator for markets during earnings season: Bespoke
IBM’s trading direction after it reports earnings shows a strong correlation to the S&P 500′s direction, Bespoke Investment Group notes Thursday.
Over the past 10 years, the direction of IBM the day after it reports has predicted the direction of the S&P 500 during the following five weeks more than 75% of the time, Bespoke researcher found.
When IBM has gone up the day after earnings, the S&P 500 has gone on to trade up 81% of the time, with an average gain of 1.24%. When IBM has gone down the day after earnings, the S&P 500 has fallen in the following weeks 70% of the time, with an average decline of 3%.
IBM has correctly predicted the subsequent direction of the S&P 500 in each of the five earnings seasons since the start of 2012. |
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