【闲谈】其实SP500早就新高了，如果

lite1067

其实SP500 在2012就历史新高了, 如果counting in dividends. 当然在2013几乎每一周我们都在见证历史新高。在SP500指数本身不计股息分红还到达新高的时候，所谓的"media effect"会再次吸引广大散户入市做最后的上冲，就像2007年的状况一样。

anyhow, we are now at an interesting point. see the chart.


if counting in dividends, sp500 has broken up to historical new high back in 2012.



if not counting in dividends, sp500 now is approaching its historical high. "media effect" will attract more retail investors into the seemingly bullish market.

ctcld

good observation!

silicon_beaver

Poo

来个大的H&S  

dsp

cool.

源济

superxy

现在不急，起码有一个回弹，才会再下，，，

小牛

superxy 发表于 2013-3-5 02:51 AM
现在不急，起码有一个回弹，才会再下，，，

也许小伞们都这么认为，所以大盘还有冲刺。
俺是踏空者

lilitulip

dxzhu

mainstreet

jasmine

xxxSWING

Did you forget to factor in inflation?

The best way to interpret the index price of S&P 500, is to have it inflation adjusted with the
effect of reinvested dividends.

I calculated that, in inflation-adjusted terms (negative impact on the index price) with dividends
reinvested (positive impact on the index price), the S&P 500 would need to be at 1621 today
to match the March 2000 peak, and at 1598 today to match the October 2007 peak.

Fairly speaking, we've not seen any 死皮新高 yet.