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Forex/Futures ST for Week 01/20- 01/25

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发表于 2013-1-21 01:25 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


本帖最后由 greenback 于 2013-1-20 10:39 PM 编辑

Even if it's holiday tomorrow, forex is still open ...

Let's take a look of EURO first, first on the 1h chart, I see a triangle after this down leg, usually it means continuation, but it's also possible to break out upwards as it's trying to do ...

euro.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-21 01:27 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2013-1-20 10:40 PM 编辑

On the 4h chart, I can't believe that it doesn't want to test the 1.34 level again ... since the longer term trend is still bullish ...
euro.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-21 01:30 AM | 显示全部楼层
It seems that the slow decline in AUD is coming to an end ...
aud.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-21 01:32 AM | 显示全部楼层
Guess the easy money in JPY is gone ... now the central bankers also worry the decline is too fast to provoke too much inflation.
jpy.png

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发表于 2013-1-21 02:07 AM | 显示全部楼层
绿大

报到!
2013 新年报到!

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-21 02:08 AM | 显示全部楼层
GBP is going crazy, but it obeys MM targets very nicely in the recent swings ...

It has reached a key S/R level and we expect it rebound with MM target shown on the chart.
gbp.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-21 02:12 AM | 显示全部楼层
silicon_beaver 发表于 2013-1-20 10:07 PM
绿大

报到!

Happy New Year and Welcome Back!
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发表于 2013-1-21 02:32 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-21 03:06 AM | 显示全部楼层
CAD had a steep decline ... expect a second leg to back test the USD/CAD high, which is also 61.8% MM target for this leg.
cad.png

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发表于 2013-1-21 06:22 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 九天 于 2013-1-21 06:27 AM 编辑

绿大,我观察了EURUSD的5个常见TA指标,都出现背离现象,是不是一个做空机会,欢迎各位老大指教。

eurusd day 21012013 JPEG.jpg

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-21 12:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
九天 发表于 2013-1-21 02:22 AM
绿大,我观察了EURUSD的5个常见TA指标,都出现背离现象,是不是一个做空机会,欢迎各位老大指教。

Good point! EURO potentially is making a double top, but we usually wait for a break out of the neckline to short it ... negative divergence alone can't be used to short since you don't know when the trend will stop.

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发表于 2013-1-21 02:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-1-21 12:39 PM
Good point! EURO potentially is making a double top, but we usually wait for a break out of the ne ...

TKS,  I must wait for a break out of the neckline to play for safety.
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-21 11:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
AUD starts to rebound ... let's see where this leg will lead us ...
aud.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-21 11:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
GBP broke down the previous low! So our last long was stoped out. Once again, buying dip is a high risk game, even if the reward/return ratio is high ...
gbp.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-22 01:44 AM | 显示全部楼层
CL is posed to break out again ...
cl.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-22 01:50 AM | 显示全部楼层
GC is forming an ascending triangle and is ready to break out
gc.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-22 01:59 AM | 显示全部楼层
Stocks don't seem to loose steam yet ... still following the trend line ...
tf.png
es.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-22 02:02 AM | 显示全部楼层
九天 发表于 2013-1-21 10:38 AM
TKS,  I must wait for a break out of the neckline to play for safety.

Looks that the BOJ statement is also giving EURO a boost, don't get it ... but can't argue with the market ...
euro.png

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发表于 2013-1-22 02:57 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 九天 于 2013-1-22 03:01 AM 编辑
greenback 发表于 2013-1-22 02:02 AM
Looks that the BOJ statement is also giving EURO a boost, don't get it ... but can't argue with th ...



You are right. 形态像上升三角形。

EURUSD 210113 4H JPEG.jpg

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发表于 2013-1-22 10:58 AM | 显示全部楼层
月末之前狠忙。俺等ES的回调或急跌后再入,绿老大辛苦了。


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