今后的走向 -- 测得准还是测不准？

ctcld · 发表于 2013-1-18 11:06 PM

借用D少的测不准原理，周线CCI很可能这次测不准大盘的顶。

1500 前沿小作调整后，继续向上的可能性比较大，PULLBACK 应该是买入的机会。有邻居问PULLBACK多少？
我猜 30-50点而已。 BXZL。

DCE · 发表于 2013-1-18 11:15 PM

macd背离了，上次测不准时没这个现象

DCE · 发表于 2013-1-18 11:18 PM

不过今年的股市真的是超强

Diffusion · 发表于 2013-1-18 11:37 PM

lite1067 · 发表于 2013-1-19 12:28 AM

本帖最后由 ctcld 于 2013-1-19 12:28 AM 编辑

bucks · 发表于 2013-1-19 12:53 AM

本帖最后由 bucks 于 2013-1-18 11:54 PM 编辑

lite1067 发表于 2013-1-18 11:28 PM

Omg, 你怕是要再开胡同风气之先

Read0nly · 发表于 2013-1-19 01:03 AM

其实就操作而言，能预测到这个份儿就够了，从上升阶段的单边牛市改成将顶部当作一个振荡区来小幅操作。

lite1067 · 发表于 2013-1-19 01:03 AM

bucks 发表于 2013-1-19 12:53 AM
Omg, 你怕是要再开胡同风气之先

why "再" ?

bucks · 发表于 2013-1-19 01:12 AM

lite1067 发表于 2013-1-19 12:03 AM
why "再" ?

老大拉风不是一次两次了哈，

继续引领胡同

开小差 · 发表于 2013-1-19 01:13 AM

游大可以解释第二张图怎么理解吗?

ctcld · 发表于 2013-1-19 01:24 AM

本帖最后由 ctcld 于 2013-1-19 12:27 AM 编辑

开小差发表于 2013-1-19 12:13 AM
游大可以解释第二张图怎么理解吗?

Developed in 1957, the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index is one of the most often cited indicators of overall commodity prices. Originally, the CRB Index was weighted heavily towards agricultural commodities. Since its inception, it has been revised nine times to be more representative of a broader range of commodity prices, particularly energy. This tenth change brings the Reuters/Jefferies CRB in line with the evolution of a rapidly expanding commodity futures market. The RJ/CRB Index continues to offer investors a broad and reliable benchmark for the performance of the commodity sector; it now represents nineteen commodity futures markets, including all five of the ICE primary agricultural products (cocoa, coffee, cotton, FCOJ and sugar).

The previous version of the Reuters CRB will be renamed the “Continuous Commodity Index” and will be made available for trading under the symbol “CI” after the close of business on June 17th. All outstanding open positions in the current Index will be rolled into the new product and trade under the symbol “CR”. The Exchange will continue to list new months for the CCI.

按常理，期货总是走在前面。。。

dsp · 发表于 2013-1-19 02:54 AM

开小差 · 发表于 2013-1-19 08:53 AM

游大,CRB的概念我懂, 我想问的是这4个line 的关联是什么?

ctcld · 发表于 2013-1-19 09:03 AM

DCE 发表于 2013-1-18 10:15 PM
macd背离了，上次测不准时没这个现象

同意。所以最后一波也不会太高太长。

ctcld · 发表于 2013-1-19 09:07 AM

开小差发表于 2013-1-19 07:53 AM
游大,CRB的概念我懂, 我想问的是这4个line 的关联是什么?

相对和相应的关系

Interpretation:
Intermarket Technical Analysis is the study of the relationships between the four major financial markets: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities and Currencies. There are several key relationships that bind these four markets together. These relationships are:
The INVERSE relationship between commodities and bonds
The INVERSE relationship between bonds and stocks
The POSITIVE relationship between stocks and commodities
The INVERSE relationship between the US Dollar and commodities
POSITIVE: When one goes up, the other goes up also.
INVERSE: When one goes up, the other goes down.
When these relationships occur, the markets are said to be acting "normally" and there is a good probability the current trends will continue. When one or more of these relationships break down, the markets should be watched carefully for signs of general trend reversals.

chinesebuffet · 发表于 2013-1-19 09:38 AM

历害！在大千没见过这种图！

bigbadwolf · 发表于 2013-1-19 12:42 PM

本帖最后由 bigbadwolf 于 2013-1-19 12:45 PM 编辑

scCAXZVWS1.png (38.27 KB, 下载次数: 2)

spx-WK-011813.png (34 KB, 下载次数: 1)

大盘指数还没遇到明显阻力位。估计还要再涨一点点。第一目标SPX 1505左右。今年看可以上试1550以上。

stocktoaster · 发表于 2013-1-19 12:53 PM

waterhouse · 发表于 2013-1-19 03:18 PM

lilitulip · 发表于 2013-1-19 07:51 PM

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[技术分析] 今后的走向 -- 测得准还是测不准？

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