INTC: 何时见底 ？

bucks

好像 INTC 上了很多人的 雷达，开个帖子 供大家讨论分享一下。

持有少量，自然深度水下，不过还是在考虑 继续买一批。

周线图，下个强支撑要到 ~ 18. 左右，有点恐怖

日线图，应该是五浪下跌，好像也开始爆量了。

但好像还没到买的时候。

邻居们，怎么看？

Cobra

Weekly chart你看到了恐怖就好哈！

yaobooyao

Cobra 发表于 2012-11-20 09:32 PM
Weekly chart你看到了恐怖就好哈！

Dividend yield at 4.6%..

I started loading at $21.6 a few days ago,  just a small inital position.

bucks

Cobra 发表于 2012-11-20 09:32 PM
Weekly chart你看到了恐怖就好哈！

正好问个问题：蛇大，对这种发 DIVIDEND 的 股票， 看图分析时应该用 UNADJUSTED 还是 ADJUSTED 的数据 ？ 比如，这个 INTC，如果不考虑 DIVIDEND，第一个支撑大概就在 19.2 左右， 快到了。

Cobra

bucks 发表于 2012-11-20 09:58 PM
正好问个问题：蛇大，对这种发 DIVIDEND 的 股票， 看图分析时应该用 UNADJUSTED 还是 ADJUSTED 的数据 ？ ...

我个人喜欢dividend adjusted。不过，如果绝大多数人看的是unadjusted，那么真的到support了。Trading是看，绝大多数人看的是啥，越是明显的support，越是有效。

silicon_beaver

not on my radar for a while.

bucks

silicon_beaver 发表于 2012-11-20 10:06 PM
not on my radar for a while.

牛娃还炒 RDN 不 ？

silicon_beaver

bucks 发表于 2012-11-20 07:14 PM
牛娃还炒 RDN 不 ？

on radar but not have it this time.

dsp

silicon_beaver 发表于 2012-11-20 10:18 PM
on radar but not have it this time.

RDN's FA may have problem. You know that barron's paper.

dsp

macd is terrible in weekly chart

dsp

daily chart looks INTC may be bottomed in short term. 21 and 22.4 next.

heheboy

MACD weekly chart no divergence yet

but i will load some at $18 if it ever gets there

天地

18 左右闭着眼壮胆买第2笔。轻松买的都不是好买点。

dividend_growth

yaobooyao 发表于 2012-11-20 09:38 PM
Dividend yield at 4.6%..

I started loading at $21.6 a few days ago,  just a small inital positi ...

NOK的dividend yield还到过7.8％。

Tech恐龙崩溃的速度是惊人的，分红随时都会砍掉。

市场开始领悟到Otellini主动退役的可怕了。

bucks

INTC made a new low today. If it could re-test it by today's closing, I am gonna buy some for short-term play. It may rebound to ~ 20.0

hellofriend

反对猜底。呵呵

bucks

hellofriend 发表于 2012-11-21 03:00 PM
反对猜底。呵呵

猜低，猜顶是炒股带来的最大乐趣之一  

ddd

看看它的背景情况吧。我曾经热炒了一下，但后来以最快速度止了损。他的下降可能是个长期（一年以上，两年左右）趋势，所以十八块半附近的支撑可能会被击破。

jamesmith

I started building position at $21.5, added some at $20.  Not a big position, I am in waiting mode.
I wanted to get more if it goes below $19...

It's not the best business, but the valuation at this price is very attractive. The market is pricing Intel as if PC is going to die tomorrow. I can't tell if PC will die or not, but I am sure it will stick around much longer than what market currently thinks.

heheboy

jamesmith 发表于 2012-11-21 06:16 PM
I started building position at $21.5, added some at $20.  Not a big position, I am in waiting mode.
...

INTC is missing out big on tablet and smart phones (50%~60% chips consumption), PC only accounted for 5% or 6% of chips consumption in 2013, i started selling $18 put on INTC, if it is down below that, i will get my shares assigned, if not, i keep my premium..small bet